NFL Week 17--The Harold Carmichael Edition

[Chef2]

1 p.m. ET
Dolphins at Patriots (-16) (45.5) (CBS)
Chargers at Chiefs (-7.5) (48) (CBS)
Jets at Bills (-1.5) (37)(CBS)
Packers (-10) at Lions (41.5) (Fox)
Bears at Vikings (-7) (41.5) (Fox)
Saints (-13) at Panthers (48) (Fox)
Falcons (-1) at Buccaneers (50) (Fox)
Browns (-3) at Bengals (46) (Fox)


4:25 p.m ET
Titans (-5.5) at Texans (47) (CBS)
Steelers at Ravens (-3) (40.5) (CBS)
Raiders at Broncos (-3.5) (42)(CBS)
Colts (-3.5) at Jaguars (43) (CBS)
Eagles (-4.5) at Giants (44.5) (Fox)
Cardinals at Rams (-7) (49) (Fox)
Redskins @ Cowboys (-11) (44.5) Fox

8:20 p.m. ET
49ers (-3) at Seahawks (47.5) (NBC)

 

[Scout]

Pat Fischer is still jumping for the ball.

 

[poindexter]

Can the degenerates point out which games where both teams have an incentive to win?

 

[playthrough]

That Eagles line will go nowhere but up, but I can see the Giants giving them a game.

How are the Titans that big of a favorite on the road considering the Texans beat them two weeks ago?

 

[justgladtobehere]

NFC Playoff Picture

AFC Playoff Picture

The difference between the charts is interesting.

And the New York Times layout.

N.F.L. Playoff Picture: Every Team’s Playoff Chances

 

[DanielSimpsonDay]

NFC Playoff Picture

AFC Playoff Picture

The difference between the charts is interesting.

And the New York Times layout.

N.F.L. Playoff Picture: Every Team’s Playoff Chances

That Cowboys graph from the NYT link...

 

[justgladtobehere]

That Cowboys graph from the NYT link...

Does anyone notice a way to look at past weeks?

 

[Della9250]

Redskins-Cowboys is a one of the late games

 

[Michael_ Gee]

That Eagles line will go nowhere but up, but I can see the Giants giving them a game.

How are the Titans that big of a favorite on the road considering the Texans beat them two weeks ago?

The expectation Houston will rest people, as it's locked into its seed.

 

[HanSenSE]

Seeing some Twitter rumblings the Seahawks will give Marshawn Lynch a look in the next couple of days.

 

[playthrough]

The expectation Houston will rest people, as it's locked into its seed.

True, but I think fans sometimes overvalue those spots in the betting markets.

 

[tapintoamerica]

NFC Playoff Picture

AFC Playoff Picture

The difference between the charts is interesting.

And the New York Times layout.

N.F.L. Playoff Picture: Every Team’s Playoff Chances

Lots of errors. It says the Raiders have a <1% chance to win the division. They have zero chance. Same true for several others.

 

[Della9250]

The Raiders do have a chance, if:

they win vs. Denver
Ravens beat Steelers
Texans beat Titans
Colts beat Jaguars

 

[Shropshire Slasher]

Cowboys odds (28%) are actually better than if you flipped a coin for the 2 games that matter (25%).

Realistically they might be even better — Eagles on the road vs. a division rival; Redskins already booking tee times. If Eagles do win, it will be Wentz’s first signature accomplishment of his career.

Besides, you can always count on the Cowboys to muck up a tidy ending, which would be a season-ender followed by Garrett’s firing presser the next day.

 

[Batman]

Cowboys odds (28%) are actually better than if you flipped a coin for the 2 games that matter (25%).

Realistically they might be even better — Eagles on the road vs. a division rival; Redskins already booking tee times. If Eagles do win, it will be Wentz’s first signature accomplishment of his career.

Besides, you can always count on the Cowboys to muck up a tidy ending, which would be a season-ender followed by Garrett’s firing presser the next day.

The Redskins have not been mailing it in lately. Two wins and three competitive losses (the last two were decided, essentially, on the last play) in the past five weeks. I can see them giving the Cowboys a hard time.

 

[BTExpress]

The Raiders do have a chance, if:

they win vs. Denver
Ravens beat Steelers
Texans beat Titans
Colts beat Jaguars

That's for the No. 6 seed.

tapintoamerica said they're listed as having a tiny chance to win the division. Not on playoffstatus.com they aren't.

 

[Batman]

Lots of errors. It says the Raiders have a <1% chance to win the division. They have zero chance. Same true for several others.

Zero percent is less than one percent :)

 

[Michael_ Gee]

True, but I think fans sometimes overvalue those spots in the betting markets.

That's true, but I assume the line reflects the belief fans will invest on that questionable sentiment.

 

[playthrough]

The Redskins have not been mailing it in lately. Two wins and three competitive losses (the last two were decided, essentially, on the last play) in the past five weeks. I can see them giving the Cowboys a hard time.

Getting double digits there with the Skins is very tempting, especially watching Prescott throw it yesterday.

 

[DanielSimpsonDay]

Zero percent is less than one percent :)