Beef03 said:
Smash Williams said:
From some preliminary numbers, Chicago may be in cap hell next year. Toews and Kane likely combined to earn about $5 million in bonuses off their rookie contracts - Toews $2.15 million and Kane $2.85 million. Chicago can only absorb about $300,000 this year because they were so close to the cap to begin with, and per the CBA, the rest gets put onto next year's cap hit.
So whatever the cap ends up being (and next year, IIRC, does not have a bonus cushion built int), Chicago's cap will be $4.7 million less than what applies to the other teams in the league.
Look for Huet to become the AHL's highest paid player next year which would free up $5.6 mil in cap space right there, also could see the likes of Kris Versteeg and Brent Sopel getting traded.
John Madden could also go unsigned, although I think it would be prudent for them to bring him back at a similar cap hit.
That right there would save them:
Huet 5.6, Versteeg 3.06, Sopel 2.3 mil = 10.96 mil + Madden 2.75 mil = 13.71 mil.
Also the cap is supposed to go up about $2 mil for next year.
While some players will need to be re-upped, like Eager, Hjalmarsson, Ladd, and Niemi, they shouldn't break the bank -- although niemi might get the biggest bump in salary of all of them.
There is also Jack Skille ready for fulltime employment next season and he should fill Versteeg's shoes in the near future.
Just wouldn't expect any huge sinings by them this year, but they aren't quite in a position where the entire team has to be broken up. At least that is the path that makes most sense to me.
It's worse than you think.
Kane, Toews and Keith will have a combined cap hit of $9.2 million *more* next year than they did this year. Their ELCs are over and their big extensions kick in.
If reports are correct, the Blackhawks will be taking a $4.5 million cap hit from Kane and Toews' bonuses.
That's $13.7 million in extra cap hit, minus the $2 million the cap is going up, and you are now faced with $11.7 million you have to clear immediately.
But here's the catch: Ladd, Hjarlmarsson, and Niemi are all RFAs who should generate some buzz. They had a combined cap hit $3 million this season. I think they'd like to keep all three, and I think a *very* conservative estimate of the combined cost will be about $7 million, or $4 million in raises.
So that's now $15.7 million in cap space they have to clear.
And remember, any player they lose has to be replaced with someone, and that someone will probably have a cap hit of about $800k.
Hopefully Eager, Burish, Fraser and Hendry can be re-upped for about what they make now, and if not they can all be replaced with cheap guys without losing much.
Send Huet to the minors (which is a LOT to ask of ownership, I still don't know if they'd do that) = cap savings of about $4.8 million when his replacement is factored in.
Let Madden go as a UFA, replace him with a very cheap center = cap savings of about $2 million
Trade Sopel, replace him with a very cheap defenseman = cap savings of about $1.4 million
Trade Versteeg, replace him with Jack Skille = cap savings of about $2 million (Skille is an RFA too, incidentally)
We're (yes, I'm using the 'we' as a fan here) *still* about $6 million over the cap after all those moves and we've gutted our team. We are going to have to lose all those guys above, plus two more of Byfuglien, Sharp, Hjarlmarsson and Niemi. My vote would be Niemi and Byfuglien, both of whom are overrated right now because of their playoff performances, but we'll see. And if you want to replace one of those wingers with Kyle Beach, you are going to have to clear even a little more space, because Beach is on an ELC too and will cost a full $1.2 million cap hit next season.
Fortunately, it'll be one year of cap hell (where they will still have a good team filled with stars, just not as deep as this year) and then right back at it with a restocked farm system (that was already pretty deep) and fresh cap space.
Another issue - Niemi can't be waived and sent to the minors until the season starts. They have to be under the cap *before* the season starts. That could cause some problems as well.