This week's episode was pretty dull. And it was frustrating that, without a reward challenge, they spent 45 minutes showing a lot of strategizing and such, only for it all to become meaningless when Neal got pulled off the island. Goes to show good tribal council has been for the past few seasons that the show really suffered without it.
Things are getting tight now, with Neal becoming the first member of the jury, and I still don't have a clear guess of who will win.
Possible winners:
Cydney - strong, athletic and smart enough to contend for individual immunity, has a strong alliance, hasn't pissed anyone off.
Michele - Much smarter than partner Nick. He's been going on and on about getting rid of Brawn, but she was smart enough to talk him into keeping around the rich NBA player and unlikable bounty hunter. Ultimately, Neal's medical situation forced their hand, but it showed she's got a good handle on strategy of the game.
Unlikely, but possible:
Tai - Good alliance with Scot, has an idol, super likable, great around camp. Downside is, he's sooooooo likable, I think other players will realize they'd be stupid to take him to final tribal because if he gets that far, he's going to win.
Debbie - She's super annoying and completely off her rocker, which might make other players decide to take her along. She's actively playing the game, and may be able to build a resume of big moves she can take credit for. Downside is she's way overconfident and doesn't pick up on social cues as well as she thinks she does.
Nick - Also actively playing and could build a resume. Seems good in challenges and is always a threat for immunity. Downside is he's also pretty arrogant and looks primed to be blindsided (probably by Michele).
Julia - She's cute, likable and hasn't annoyed anyone. Downside is, she hasn't done much of anything, doesn't seem to be a threat in challenges and is generally a non-entity.
Not much of a chance:
Scot - He's playing a pretty good game (though he might have slipped up by telling Nick about Tai and Jason's idols), he's a physical threat, has a strong alliance. If he makes the final, I think he'd probably be deserving. However, I don't see the jury giving $1M to a millionaire professional athlete.
Jason - He's got an idol and he's unlikable enough to make final tribal, however, juries don't usually give the money to the unlikable player (Tony over Woo being a notable recent exception). Jason will have to build a resume of moves that were HIS, not his, Scot and Cydney's if he's going to win.
Aubry - Such a wet blanket. Seems like the obvious next target.
Joe - Not enough finesse. He'll never pull of a big move that he orchestrates. His confrontation with Peter showed he's not savvy enough to outwit the group. If he thought Peter was coming after him, he'd have been better served orchestrating a blind side, rather than confronting Peter about it.