Super Tuesday Thread

[Fenian_Bastard]

On let us get it.

 

[spup1122]

A week early? Do you really want to subject yourself to this?

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Tuesday is a week from Thursday?
Odd your calendar is.

 

[Trouser_Buddah]

A week early? Do you really want to subject yourself to this?

If not here, then where?

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Wise young Buddah is.

More porn for zeke.
http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/rasmussen_postkennedy_endorsement_obama_only_down_by_six_in_massachusetts.php

 

[spup1122]

Tuesday is a week from Thursday?
Odd your calendar is.

Thanks. My schedule is completely off. It's only a few days early so I suppose it's OK. A week, though? Never.

And forgive me...it's early and I'm on my first day back at work.

 

[DanOregon]

Pulled this off of uselectionpolls.com - I can't believe Romney can't pull more than the 65 percent of the vote in Utah.

Republican Polls
State Date RG JM MR MH FT RP
California 1/27 12 37 25 14 - 4
New York 1/23-26 24 42 14 8 - 5
Mass. 1/22-23 6 29 50 7 - 3
Georgia 1/22 11 19 16 34 - 12
Illinois 1/21-24 13 31 20 11 - 7
Alabama 1/23 8 27 15 27 - 3
Minn. 9/21/07 27 22 5 2 16 2
Tenn. 1/19-21 2 12 7 24 25 2
N.J. 1/15-22 26 29 14 9 9 7
Arizona 1/20-24 7 40 23 9 7 3
Conn. 1/9-17 16 39 11 8 6 -
Okla. 1/27 6 37 19 28 - 6
Colo. 1/21-23 4 24 43 17 - 5
Utah 10/2/07 8 6 65 2 3 1
Mizzou 1/21-24 8 31 21 25 1 6
Ark 12/14/07 9 9 7 59 6 3
Del. 10/6/07 37 14 10 - 13 -

RG - Rudy Giuliani
JM - John McCain
MR - Mitt Romney
MH - Mike Huckabee
FT - Fred Thompson
RP - Ron Paul



Democratic Polls
State Date HC BO JE BR DK
California 1/27 49 38 9 - -
New York 1/23-26 56 28 10 - -
Massachusetts 1/22-23 59 22 11 - -
Georgia 1/22 35 41 13 - -
Illinois 1/21 22 51 15 - 2
Alabama 1/23 43 28 16 - -
Minnesota 9/21/07 47 22 16 2 2
Tennessee 1/19-21 34 20 16 - -
New Jersey 1/15-22 49 32 10 - 1
Arizona 1/20-24 37 27 15 - 2
Connecticut 1/27 40 40 11 - -
Oklahoma 1/27 44 19 27 - -
Colorado 1/21-23 32 34 17 - -
Utah 2/11/07 31 18 9 1 1
Missouri 1/21-24 44 31 18 - 1
New Mexico 9/5/07 17 8 8 44 -
Arkansas 12/14/07 57 17 14 1 -
Delaware 10/6/07 41 17 7 - -
Idaho 7/12/07 31 33 15 - -

HC - Hillary Clinton
BO - Barack Obama
JE - John Edwards
BR - Bill Richardson
DK - Dennis Kucinich

 

[spup1122]

Check the dates. There are newer polls if memory serves that show Obama down by 6 in Mass. and a lot closer in Cali now that Edwards is out.

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

If above you will look, Bay State poll you will see.

 

[DanOregon]

I would love for this thing to go til June 3 when South Dakota holds the "Last in the Nation" primary.
Obama needs to win Connecticut, if he also takes Mass., Georgia and Colorado and doesn't finish that far back in California this thing should at least go until March 3.

And considering HRC has her birth state of Ill., her former home of Arkansas, her college state of Mass. and her current home state of NY on the docket, she should be looking good. But there aren't a lot of states left where she has such ties after next week. Except for the DC primary.

 

[spup1122]

HRC will not will Illinois. Obama will win Illinois without question.

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Correct I believe young lady is.

 

[21]

As Russert said yesterday, his rumpled tie flying madly around his spinning head, 'THERE ARE TWO SUPER BOWLS THIS YEAR! ONE SUNDAY, ONE TUESDAY!!'

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Some fat in the head there is, hmm....

 

[Ben_Hecht]

Romney can have Massachusetts, Colorado and Utah as his parting gifts . . .

Don't let the door hit ya . . .

 

[Football_Bat]

JoMac was only pulling 40 percent in his home state. Not even a majority.

 

[alleyallen]

OK...bottom line it for me since I haven't been keeping up with the exact numbers. Let's say Hillary and Barack split the states in the Super Tuesday primary, with each getting a fair share of key states.

Where does that leave it, in terms of total delegate numbers? And is there any way for this to go down to the convention wire? I ask because, honestly, when was the last time the actual convention had drama over who would get the nomination? (keep in mind, I didn't start paying close attention until '84, or maybe '88.)

 

[Football_Bat]

OK...bottom line it for me since I haven't been keeping up with the exact numbers. Let's say Hillary and Barack split the states in the Super Tuesday primary, with each getting a fair share of key states.

Where does that leave it, in terms of total delegate numbers? And is there any way for this to go down to the convention wire? I ask because, honestly, when was the last time the actual convention had drama over who would get the nomination? (keep in mind, I didn't start paying close attention until '84, or maybe '88.)

Hard to say because different states apportion delegates in different ways. It's a Charlie Foxtrot, to be frank. But if Hillary and Obama split delegates right down the middle, Hillary still holds an edge because of the superdelegates (earlier described as elected officials and other Dem officials whose endorsements are not tied to a public vote).

 

[Ben_Hecht]

I would love for this thing to go til June 3 when South Dakota holds the "Last in the Nation" primary.
Obama needs to win Connecticut, if he also takes Mass., Georgia and Colorado and doesn't finish that far back in California this thing should at least go until March 3.

And considering HRC has her birth state of Ill., her former home of Arkansas, her college state of Mass. and her current home state of NY on the docket, she should be looking good. But there aren't a lot of states left where she has such ties after next week. Except for the DC primary.

Hillary, win Illinois? Why do you think she chose to carpetbag her precious ass to New York?

All other things being equal (a huge presumption, I know), if she'd tried for the Senate out of Illinois against a representative opponent in a balanced year, she loses. Downstate KILLS her.

 

[Football_Bat]

And upstate is Obama country. Obama probably gets 70% in the Land of Lincoln.