Super Tuesday Thread

[Ben_Hecht]

Yesterday, I think.


Wednesday, 1/30 . . . confirmed.

 

[Football_Bat]

HRC leading by 33 points in new Tennessee primary poll.

No wonder Harold Ford Jr. lost.

But Hillary was leading by 106 last week! [/zeke]

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Tight these numbers are.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/most_recent_rasmussen_reports_primary_polling

 

[joe]

The most super thing about Tuesday? It's Mardi Gras, baby. A dozen king cakes, and keep the hurricanes coming.

 

[JayFarrar]

Thought this was interesting.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/rasmussen_markets_democratic_presidential_primaries

This has Clinton winning 12 of 19 states and all by reasonably large margins. The closest was 9.9 in Minnesota, the rest were in big double figures. All the big states as well, with the exception of Illinois and that state will go Democratic whomever the candidate is.

 

[Chi City 81]

Thought this was interesting.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/rasmussen_markets_democratic_presidential_primaries

This has Clinton winning 12 of 19 states and all by reasonably large margins. The closest was 9.9 in Minnesota, the rest were in big double figures. All the big states as well, with the exception of Illinois and that state will go Democratic whomever the candidate is.

Not very interesting, actually. No state is winner-take-all. Obama will have enough support in parts of New York and California to prevent Hillary from pulling away. This won't be decided on Super Tuesday, no matter what.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

Polls from the last couple of days tell a far different story, especially in the likes of California, where Obama is closing on Hil like a bat out of hell. Current momentum for BO is enormous.

 

[zeke12]

Thought this was interesting.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/rasmussen_markets_democratic_presidential_primaries

This has Clinton winning 12 of 19 states and all by reasonably large margins. The closest was 9.9 in Minnesota, the rest were in big double figures. All the big states as well, with the exception of Illinois and that state will go Democratic whomever the candidate is.

Fearless prediction: Barack Obama will win in Minnesota.

Three reasons: Same-day voter reg for college students in MPLS/St. Paul, caucus format and Edwards dropping out. Reports from my spies say that Edwards' precinct captains from the Range are cold calling the Obama HQ today to sign up. That ain't Clinton territory. Caucus format has favored Obama, generally.

 

[Fudgie the Whale]

Polls from the last couple of days tell a far different story, especially in the likes of California, where Obama is closing on Hil like a bat out of hell. Current momentum for BO is enormous.

BO. I like that. I can hear chants of "Go BO", "Go BO"! Also sounds folksier which should work in the South.

 

[JayFarrar]

yes, yes, anything that may reflect positively on Clinton is shrug-worthy. Anything negative to the Clintons is, of course, the Biggest. News. Ever.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

yes, yes, anything that may reflect positively on Clinton is shrug-worthy. Anything negative to the Clintons is, of course, the Biggest. News. Ever.

Folks set themselves up as the answer to every problem on earth . . . they're going to be subjected to in-depth probing and analysis. Goes with the territory.

 

[zeke12]

yes, yes, anything that may reflect positively on Clinton is shrug-worthy. Anything negative to the Clintons is, of course, the Biggest. News. Ever.

I hope that isn't what you're taking from what I said.

I was just pointing out what I know about Minnesota. I doubt that poll is close to accurate, especially since Edwards is out.

From that link, the bad news for Obama comes from Oklahoma and Tennessee. He isn't getting any kind of traction there.

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Meanwhile, want to read some completely bull**** campaign reporting?
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/01/mccain_internal_memo_de_facto.html

The Fix "obtained" a memo in which McCain is described as the super-dupper, unbeatable towering force after next Tuesday.
"Obtained"?
I'm sure there was some real hardbitten newsgathering involved.

 

[Michael_ Gee]

Straws in the wind, Massachusetts division.

1. Received a telephone call from Obama volunteer last night. Not surprising. Gov. Patrick, an Obama supporter, has a strong organization out here in Boston's gayIslamocommie western suburbs.

2. Clinton had TV commercials during the 6 o'clock news broadcasts of at least two stations last night. Surprising. Boston advertising time is not cheap. She certainly must BELIEVE it's a close race in this state.

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Two phone calls and a mailing from HRC in the past two days. Internals must suck hereabouts.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

Meanwhile, want to read some completely bull**** campaign reporting?
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/01/mccain_internal_memo_de_facto.html

The Fix "obtained" a memo in which McCain is described as the super-dupper, unbeatable towering force after next Tuesday.
"Obtained"?
I'm sure there was some real hardbitten newsgathering involved.

Gee, the McCain insiders are feeling good about themselves.

Good for them.

Wholly justifiable.

Something out of nothing . . . of course, the alternative is to do a straightforward poll story, and they were obviously looking to come at it, from another direction.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

Straws in the wind, Massachusetts division.


2. Clinton had TV commercials during the 6 o'clock news broadcasts of at least two stations last night. Surprising. Boston advertising time is not cheap. She certainly must BELIEVE it's a close race in this state.

It is now!

 

[zeke12]

Two phone calls and a mailing from HRC in the past two days. Internals must suck hereabouts.

It's ******* Blowback! They see the writing on the wall!

Did anyone else catch the internal financial reporting that showed McCain was flat-ass broke before he won SC and Florida?

Willard has to be just ****ing kicking himself. Probably nothing he could do about SC, but if he would have won Florida, it's probably his nomination.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

Two phone calls and a mailing from HRC in the past two days. Internals must suck hereabouts.

It's ******* Blowback! They see the writing on the wall!

Did anyone else catch the internal financial reporting that showed McCain was flat-ass broke before he won SC and Florida?

Willard has to be just ****ing kicking himself. Probably nothing he could do about SC, but if he would have won Florida, it's probably his nomination.

He did everything he rationally could, to buy it.

Not everything can be bought . . . thank God.

 

[Fenian_Bastard]

Two phone calls and a mailing from HRC in the past two days. Internals must suck hereabouts.

It's ******* Blowback! They see the writing on the wall!

Did anyone else catch the internal financial reporting that showed McCain was flat-ass broke before he won SC and Florida?

Willard has to be just ****ing kicking himself. Probably nothing he could do about SC, but if he would have won Florida, it's probably his nomination.

I sit back at FB World HQ and lightly pull the strings.
And Willard ran 4700 commercials in Florida.
4700.
Wowser.