Election Day Poll No. Whatever

[Moderator1]

Not who do you want to win, who do you think will actually win. You can explain your choice in comments but don't turn this into political thread No. 2

 

[Dick Whitman]

I voted Clinton. She has one more weekend to survive, and she's the slight leader right now.

 

[Moderator1]

I voted Clinton as well, but with a lot less confidence than I would have a couple of weeks ago. I've gone from being convinced she'll win to thinking she will likely win but mostly just being hopeful.

 

[Dick Whitman]

I think I'm still on tier 2 in your hierarchy - she will likely win. If nothing else, her ground game wins it for her. Some of the early data on the depressed African-American voting rate is troubling, though.

 

[jr/shotglass]

I voted Clinton with no trepidation. I honestly don't think there's any chance of it going the other way. I've moved into concern over what is going to happen after that occurs, as far as backlash from the other side.

 

[Dick Whitman]

I voted Clinton with no trepidation. I honestly don't think there's any chance of it going the other way.

The only reason I'm not 100 percent there is that this has been such a volatile campaign that I could see a news story over the next few days - particularly a Wikileaks or email story - changing things. It's unlikely, but it's more possible than it usually is.

On a side note, it will be interesting to see if we are witnessing the end of careless email. You would be surprised at what people write in emails that are discovered in our cases. We have a huge antitrust case going to trial in three weeks that is basically built on stupid internal emails by our client.

 

[jr/shotglass]

I think you're absolutely on target about email. The culture of email has changed forever, IMO.

 

[TyWebb]

The evolution of my thinking on this:
"She's going to win."
"She's going to win in a landslide."
"I don't even think he'll make it to Nov. 8."
"She's going to win and it won't be that close."
"She's going to win."
"She's going to ... win?"

 

[Bronco77]

For some reason, it wouldn't surprise me that much if Trump narrowly wins the popular vote. But based on the way the states are leaning, I'm projecting a Hillary win of 294-244 or thereabouts in the electoral vote at this point.

 

[Baron Scicluna]

Clinton. I've always thought it would be close either way, and when she got out to the supposed huge lead, I couldn't really imagine most Republicans really being able to bring themselves to pull the lever (or fill in the circle, or punch a hole) for her.

 

[The Big Ragu]

I will vote for a whacky third-party candidate, to be determined as I step into the voting booth.

I know who won't win: America.

Edit: I have no clue which of them will win. Really don't trust any of the polling methodology, given the candidates, who they attract and willingness of people to even admit they will be voting for one or the other. I could totally see a Brexit redux. Or then again, not.

 

[HanSenSE]

Clinton. I've always thought it would be close either way, and when she got out to the supposed huge lead, I couldn't really imagine most Republicans really being able to bring themselves to pull the lever (or fill in the circle, or punch a hole) for her.

This. I get there's some who dislike Clinton (not the WWE hype-like hate we get from right wing media), and she does have her faults, but how the hell can you support a loose cannon like Trump?

 

[RickStain]

Clinton is going to win. The drama will be Senate races and Florida and NC deciding the EV margin.

 

[UPChip]

To draw it down to a sports analogy, I think Clinton has a touchdown lead and the ball at the two-minute warning, but still needs to get a first down to run out the clock.

 

[Michael_ Gee]

I am too emotionally involved (and superstitious!) to hazard a guess.

 

[FileNotFound]

I think you're absolutely on target about email. The culture of email has changed forever, IMO.

A long overdue change.

 

[BTExpress]

To draw it down to a sports analogy, I think Clinton has a touchdown lead and the ball at the two-minute warning, but still needs to get a first down to run out the clock.

Clinton is the 1992 Houston Oilers, once holding a 35-3 lead over the Buffalo Trumps.

It's now 35-31. And there are still more than 3 minutes left.

Guess who's gonna win?

 

[Michael_ Gee]

You could be right that Trump wins, but it doesn't work like football. Clinton was never as far ahead as those polls showed back in mid-October. Momentum is realer in sports than in politics.

 

[Starman]

I think you're absolutely on target about email. The culture of email has changed forever, IMO.

I dunno, people have been getting in hot water over stupid, careless and ill-advised emails for 15 years now.

You'd think about the year 2000 everyone would have realized stupid emails can hang you.

 

[I Should Coco]

Clinton should win with 290-300 electoral votes. The popular vote should be closer than the EC, but Clinton wins that, too, with about 54 percent.

The only drama in my state (Idaho) is if any Democrat for statewide office gets 40 percent of the vote in their race. I'm not holding my breath.