If KD and Klay are going to be non-factors for most or all of the season, you gotta figure the Warriors will be out of the picture. (Although if the players recover well, they'd be contenders again in 20-21.)
The Lakers have to get another piece to grab a ring during their LeBron window. With the hard miles on his body, when he loses it, it'll all go at once.
One thing is clear from the growing injury list: the 2020 Olympic Team is going to be a complete changing of the guard. None of those guys coming off major injuries will play, nor will LeBron, with his nagging aches and pains.