2013 Preakness Stakes

Sports Journalists Forum – Media, Newsroom & Reporting Talk

Help Support Sports Journalists Forum:

Joined
Jul 27, 2004
Messages
797
City & State/Province
PA
I guess now's as good a time as any to start talking about the second leg of the Triple Crown. Personally, I think Orb is going to win the Triple Crown. I'll post my breakdown later, but here's the morning line odds. Who you got in your top three?

1. Orb (Even): Joel Rosario
2. Goldencents (8/1): Kevin Krigger
3. Titletown Five (30/1): Julien Leparoux
4. Departing (6/1): Brian Hernandez, Jr.
5. Mylute (5/1): Rosie Napravnik
6. Oxbow (15/1): Gary Stevens
7. Will Take Charge (12/1): Mike Smith
8. Govenor Charlie (12/1): Martin Garcia
9. Itsmyluckyday (10/1): John Velazquez
 
So I think it'll be a slower pace than the Derby was. No 22-second quarter or 45-second half mile. I think you're more likely to see it in the 24 and 49 range. I think that'll keep Goldencents involved and make him a factor down the stretch. If it's dry (I guess 50 percent chance of showers) I think Itsmyluckyday is a top three horse. I've never been impressed anytime I've seen Titletown Five run, and Departing is really solid, but not spectacular, which was the same kind of note I had on Golden Soul last week.

Orb is head and shoulders better than everyone and should win. And in a 9-horse field there's less of a chance for something funny to happen.

I've got, 1, Orb; 2, Itsmyluckyday; 3, Goldencents; 4, Mylute
 
Football_Bat said:
Orb got the rail and will win. Wake me up after Belmont.

Triple Crown contenders after Pimlico are 0-for-12 since Affirmed in 1978. Lord knows tons have come close.

If a porker like Miguel Cabrera can do it, the horse had better run his ass off.
 
2-5-9 with 1-2-5-9 with 1-2-5-6-7-8-9 in my trifectas . . . not that anyone should give a damn; I think my Derby horse crossed the finish line about 10 minutes ago. Good luck to all.
 
As an Amazon Associate we earn from qualifying purchases. Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change.
Football_Bat said:
Orb got the rail and will win. Wake me up after Belmont.

Triple Crown contenders after Pimlico are 0-for-12 since Affirmed in 1978. Lord knows tons have come close.

I think I read a story today that said only one horse has won from the rail in the Preakness in the last 52 years and that was in 94.
 
NDJournalist said:
I don't care who wins.

I don't much either, but if this pre-race show goes any longer, it's going to be renamed with roman numerals like a Super Bowl. At least the Super Bowl lasts more than two minutes.
 
Mark2010 said:
NDJournalist said:
I don't care who wins.

I don't much either, but if this pre-race show goes any longer, it's going to be renamed with roman numerals like a Super Bowl. At least the Super Bowl lasts more than two minutes.

They could have sang all the verses to "Maryland, My Maryland."
 
If Funny Cide and Smarty Jones, among others, couldn't win the Triple Crown, I have pretty much given up on seeing another Triple Crown winner in my lifetime. (I did see Affirmed win it in 1978, when horse racing seemed like a much bigger deal on the sports landscape and made the cover of Sports Illustrated.)
 
When I go to the track, I stick with the Bobby Hill (of "King of the Hill" TV show) theory.

"You should bet on No. 7. I just watched him take a dump in the paddock. That means he's lighter and he'll run faster."
 
Here's the baffling thing about horse racing..... you can take those same nine horses, line them up and let them race tomorrow and you'll likely get a totally different outcome.
 
Mark2010 said:
If Funny Cide and Smarty Jones, among others, couldn't win the Triple Crown, I have pretty much given up on seeing another Triple Crown winner in my lifetime. (I did see Affirmed win it in 1978, when horse racing seemed like a much bigger deal on the sports landscape and made the cover of Sports Illustrated.)
78 was the 3rd TC in 5 years, which followed a 26 year drought. And after the second TC in a orw, there was talk it was too easy, iirc.

IIRC, Affirmed and Alydar went 1-2 in each race, or at least Alydar finished in the money in all 3. Secretariat was the greatest sporting competitor of the 20th century. (Babe Ruth, Joe Louis and Rocky Marciano were the others, IMHO).
 
heyabbott said:
Mark2010 said:
If Funny Cide and Smarty Jones, among others, couldn't win the Triple Crown, I have pretty much given up on seeing another Triple Crown winner in my lifetime. (I did see Affirmed win it in 1978, when horse racing seemed like a much bigger deal on the sports landscape and made the cover of Sports Illustrated.)
78 was the 3rd TC in 5 years, which followed a 26 year drought. And after the second TC in a orw, there was talk it was too easy, iirc.

IIRC, Affirmed and Alydar went 1-2 in each race, or at least Alydar finished in the money in all 3. Secretariat was the greatest sporting competitor of the 20th century. (Babe Ruth, Joe Louis and Rocky Marciano were the others, IMHO).

I hear that Gretzky guy was pretty good, too.
 
I've got to think the dearth of Triple Crowns is akin to why we don't see UCLA title runs in NCAA basketball or the Yankees in MLB and the Celtics in the NBA. Greater distribution of talent, more opportunities for more horses, better technology in more hands. In short, a lot more variables at play.
Now as to why horses aren't getting faster? Horses can't read the record books and put a picture of Secretariat on the wall, the money is even bigger and means more risk for owners. Why push a horse for the TC when winning just one of the races can net big stud fees.
 

Latest posts

Back
Top