Who will make it to the 3,000 hit club?

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Drip

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As of Aug. 3, 2010, these are members of the 2,000-hit club. Who do you think will reach 3,000?

Derek Jeter 2,868, Iván Rodríguez 2,782, Omar Vizquel 2,755, Alex Rodriguez 2,632, Manny Ramírez 2,553, Garret Anderson 2,529
Johnny Damon 2,520, Chipper Jones 2,479, Vladimir Guerrero 2,367, Edgar Rentería 2,240, Miguel Tejada 2,225, Bobby Abreu 2,209, Todd Helton 2,195, Jim Thome 2,185, Jason Kendall 2,180, Ichiro Suzuki 2,164, Magglio Ordóñez 2,072, Mark Grudzielanek 2,041
 
Jeter and A-Rod will get there.

Vlad, Damon and Ichiro have outside shots. Renteria and Manny might but I don't think they can.

It wouldn't surprise me if Pudge hung on and got there, but I don't see it.
 
A Rod, Jeter, Ichiro, Manny and possibly Damon
 
Damon would have to play 3-4 years to make it. I could see him doing it before Pudge. Definitely A-Roid and Jeter. I'd put money on Suzuki as well. How old is Abreu? Maybe him as well.
 
I'm thinking yes on Jeter and A-Fraud, an outside chance for Pudge (if he can hang around to play another 2-3 years), Vlad and Manny (IF they can stay healthy for enough years, and that may be a big if) and a doubtful, though possible for Ichiro, Damon, Renteria and Helton, but I don't think those guys will play long enough to get there.

I'm thinking definitely not for anyone else on that list (much as I'd love to see him prove me wrong, that includes Chipper).
 
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Last year, I'd have thought Guerrero was toast. Now I think he has a shot.

Jeter, A-Rod for sure. Damon and Ichiro maybe.
 
Ichiro's hitting has really dropped off the past month or so. Not sure if it's age-related or because the Mariners suck something awful and he's just not as focused. He seems to be giving away some at-bats, which never happened before.

He needs four more years of 200-plus hits and that might be stretching it.
 
micropolitan guy said:
Ichiro's hitting has really dropped off the past month or so. Not sure if it's age-related or because the Mariners suck something awful and he's just not as focused. He seems to be giving away some at-bats, which never happened before.

He needs four more years of 200-plus hits and that might be stretching it.

And don't forget, he didn't come over here to start playing in the majors until a much later age than the rest of the guys on that list. He's pushing 40 now, isn't he?

It's a shame because I believe if he'd played his entire career here, there's a chance he might've been chasing 4,000.
 
Dr. Van Nostrand said:
micropolitan guy said:
Ichiro's hitting has really dropped off the past month or so. Not sure if it's age-related or because the Mariners suck something awful and he's just not as focused. He seems to be giving away some at-bats, which never happened before.

He needs four more years of 200-plus hits and that might be stretching it.

And don't forget, he didn't come over here to start playing in the majors until a much later age than the rest of the guys on that list. He's pushing 40 now, isn't he?

It's a shame because I believe if he'd played his entire career here, there's a chance he might've been chasing 4,000.

How many hits does he have between MLB & Japan?
 
mustang, I don't see Abreu getting there. His numbers dropped off quite a bit just from last year to this year and he was never one to rack up huge hit totals. He has always drawn a ton of walks, which keeps his at-bats down.
 
Hank_Scorpio said:
Japan: 1278

MLB: 2164

TOTAL: 3442

I might well be wrong and I don't have time to look it up right now, but isn't the Japanese season considerably shorter than the MLB season?
 
da man said:
Hank_Scorpio said:
Japan: 1278

MLB: 2164

TOTAL: 3442

I might well be wrong and I don't have time to look it up right now, but isn't the Japanese season considerably shorter than the MLB season?

I can't say for sure, but the most games Ichiro has played in Japan was 135 twice. He had 130 games three or four times.
 
Once they hit 40, most of the prior 3,000 hit players only had about 250-300 hits left in them.

Damon looks like he has a decent shot. I don't think Manny has it in him.
 
Dr. Van Nostrand said:
micropolitan guy said:
Ichiro's hitting has really dropped off the past month or so. Not sure if it's age-related or because the Mariners suck something awful and he's just not as focused. He seems to be giving away some at-bats, which never happened before.

He needs four more years of 200-plus hits and that might be stretching it.

And don't forget, he didn't come over here to start playing in the majors until a much later age than the rest of the guys on that list. He's pushing 40 now, isn't he?

He'll be 37 in October.
 

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