Cosmo said:
Surprised I'm the only ACC vote ... with the exception of UNC, everyone is vulnerable.
Duke -- very good team but prone to bad shooting nights. They could easily get caught on the wrong end of one in round 2 and be done.
Florida State -- one man team. If Toney Douglas isn't hitting, the Noles could be one and done.
Boston College -- so up-and-down, a real enigma of a team. Could get blown out in round 1, could advance to the elite 8.
Clemson -- can't make a free throw when it needs to.
Wake Forest -- another very young team that's driven mostly by one player. James Johnson is capable of taking over, at least, if Teague isn't hitting. But Wake usually goes as Teague goes.
Maryland -- I honestly don't know how Gary even got 20 wins out of this team. With apologies to Headbutt, there isn't a whole lot of talent here, save for Vazquez. Milbourne, Mosley and Neal are inconsistent stiffs. Hayes is capable of scoring 25 or 0.
Cosmo, even Chapel Hill is vulnerable. With Ty Lawson, and moreso without. But they're likely the best bet ... channeling Captain Obvious.
Duke is in much better shape than it was six weeks ago. Now they're actually running an offense and firing up more than 3s by the dozen. When that works, they're not getting beat. If they're smart enough to adjust and not consistently lean on that crutch, they'll be contenders. Putting Elliott Williams in the starting lineup was a sharp move. He sets the tone for face-guarding defense, something that was lacking for a while.
Disagree on Florida State - sort of. Yes, Toney Douglas is the only serious offensive weapon but, short of raining 3s with shocking accuracy, how do you score on all that length that is locked in defensively? That's how the Seminoles made their mark. That's how Leonard Hamilton won ACC Coach of the Year. Big scorer and great all-around player in Douglas and the rest of the team gladly playing their defensive roles. Limited, yes, but dangerous if they continue to playing stifling defense.
Boston College - Agreed all the way around. This team defines inconsistent. Good enough to bust Chapel Hill in the Dean Dome and Duke at Chestnut Hill. Bad enough at times to cause everyone to scratch their heads.
Clemson is much better, but in a game down to the wire when some free throws need to be made, they're still vintage Clemson. Could cause lots of indigestion for Oliver Purnell.
Wake Forest - Almost as enigmatic as BC. If Jeff Teague gets going and this team cures the road woes, watch out. But the latter is why it lost to Georgia Tech (!), Miami and N.C. State on the road. Ouch.
Maryland - Maybe Gary Williams' best coaching job. The 2002 team had talent. This one has Greivis Vazquez and barely adequate role players. To get this team off the canvas and fighting again after an embarrassing outing in Durham is wondrous. That the Terps made it this far is a victory in itself.
Chapel Hill, Duke and Florida State can - and should - survive the weekend. Clemson has more than a decent chance. Good Wake Forest can join them, Bad Wake Forest could be gone in a hurry.