The Dead Pool date

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Drip

Active Member
Joined
Aug 14, 2008
Messages
12,135
This is so freaky.
Michael Joseph Jackson (August 29, 1958 – June 25, 2009)
Lisa Nicole Lopes (May 27, 1971 – April 25, 2002)
Aaliyah Dana Haughton (January 16, 1979 – August 25, 2001)
James Joseph Brown (May 3, 1933 – December 25, 2006),
All died on the 25th of the month.
 
Oh my god. What are the odds that four peope would die on the same day of the month over a period of seven years?
 
This is crazier.

Thomas Jefferson and John Adams - July 4, 1826.

James Monroe - July 4th, 1831.

The odds of this are ridic. Three presidents in the same day - our nation's birthday. Two in the same year - the 50th anniversary of them signing the Declaration.

Three of the first five presidents die on the same day.
 
FirstDownPirates said:
Oh my god. What are the odds that four peope would die on the same day of the month over a period of seven years?

They are also all very popular singers. And African American. Three were very young.
 
mustangj17 said:
This is crazier.

Thomas Jefferson and John Adams - July 4, 1826.

James Monroe - July 4th, 1831.

The odds of this are ridic. Three presidents in the same day - our nation's birthday. Two in the same year - the 50th anniversary of them signing the Declaration.

Three of the first five presidents die on the same day.

freemasons.jpg
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Babe Ruth and Elvis --- probably the two most-famous American non-politicians of the 20th century --- both died on Aug. 16.
 
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In order for your original list to be statistically significant, you'd have to argue that significantly fewer than about 120 black singers (4 people x 30 days in a month) would have qualified for dead pool eligibility over an eight-year period. I'm not sure you can do that.
 
ArnoldBabar said:
In order for your original list to be statistically significant, you'd have to argue that significantly fewer than about 120 black singers (4 people x 30 days in a month) would have qualified for dead pool eligibility over an eight-year period. I'm not sure you can do that.
?
Arnold, no need to think so deeply about this. It's just an oddity. Ease up a bit.
 
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.
 
Drip said:
ArnoldBabar said:
In order for your original list to be statistically significant, you'd have to argue that significantly fewer than about 120 black singers (4 people x 30 days in a month) would have qualified for dead pool eligibility over an eight-year period. I'm not sure you can do that.
?
Arnold, no need to think so deeply about this. It's just an oddity. Ease up a bit.

I'm just saying, people tend to claim things are freaky when the application of a little logic shows it's really not.

"Holy crap, my kid was born on Christmas! What are the odds?" One in 365. It happens.
 
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

And the fact that Jefferson and Adams both died exactly 50 years after signing the Declaration of Independence makes it arguably the greatest coincidence of all time (except maybe for that woman who had five children all on the same day, but in different years).
 
ArnoldBabar said:
Drip said:
ArnoldBabar said:
In order for your original list to be statistically significant, you'd have to argue that significantly fewer than about 120 black singers (4 people x 30 days in a month) would have qualified for dead pool eligibility over an eight-year period. I'm not sure you can do that.
?
Arnold, no need to think so deeply about this. It's just an oddity. Ease up a bit.

I'm just saying, people tend to claim things are freaky when the application of a little logic shows it's really not.

"Holy crap, my kid was born on Christmas! What are the odds?" One in 365. It happens.

Well technically no, because after your child is conceived there are less than 365 days it could be born on - there's a window there.
 
Steak Snabler said:
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

And the fact that Jefferson and Adams both died exactly 50 years after signing the Declaration of Independence makes it arguably the greatest coincidence of all time (except maybe for that woman who had five children all on the same day, but in different years).

Also, Calvin Coolidge was born on July Fourth.
 
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

Yeah, the "1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365" only works on the odds that those specific three guys would all do it. I think you'd have to start with the odds that any of the 40 would die on a certain date, so 40/365 (about 11 percent), then multiply that three times. That leaves a roughly 1.3 percent chance, though someone more learned should check my math.
 
mustangj17 said:
ArnoldBabar said:
Drip said:
ArnoldBabar said:
In order for your original list to be statistically significant, you'd have to argue that significantly fewer than about 120 black singers (4 people x 30 days in a month) would have qualified for dead pool eligibility over an eight-year period. I'm not sure you can do that.
?
Arnold, no need to think so deeply about this. It's just an oddity. Ease up a bit.

I'm just saying, people tend to claim things are freaky when the application of a little logic shows it's really not.

"Holy crap, my kid was born on Christmas! What are the odds?" One in 365. It happens.

Well technically no, because after your child is conceived there are less than 365 days it could be born on - there's a window there.

I'm just speaking in generality. It's not like being born on a certain date, or marrying two Tauruses, or using the same brand of toothpaste as your long lost twin, equates to being struck by lightning.
 
ArnoldBabar said:
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

Yeah, the "1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365" only works on the odds that those specific three guys would all do it. I think you'd have to start with the odds that any of the 40 would die on a certain date, so 40/365 (about 11 percent), then multiply that three times. That leaves a roughly 1.3 percent chance, though someone more learned should check my math.

That math is fuzzy.
40/365 about 11 percent
1/365=.0027

11
x
.0027 = .0927
x .0027 = .0000819
x.0027 i don't know my calculator just says 0. That's how little of a chance there is. We're talking like .0000000711 chance of this happening.

Note: I failed math in college.
 
mustangj17 said:
ArnoldBabar said:
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

Yeah, the "1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365" only works on the odds that those specific three guys would all do it. I think you'd have to start with the odds that any of the 40 would die on a certain date, so 40/365 (about 11 percent), then multiply that three times. That leaves a roughly 1.3 percent chance, though someone more learned should check my math.

That math is fuzzy.
40/365 about 11 percent
1/365=.0027

11
x
.0027 = .0927
x .0027 = .0000819
x.0027 i don't know my calculator just says 0. That's how little of a chance there is. We're talking like .0000000711 chance of this happening.

Note: I failed math in college.

My calculations were just for the odds of three dying on the same day. So yeah, if you want to add in which specific day that is, you'd have to then divide it by 365 (or technically 365.25).
 
ArnoldBabar said:
mustangj17 said:
ArnoldBabar said:
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

Yeah, the "1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365" only works on the odds that those specific three guys would all do it. I think you'd have to start with the odds that any of the 40 would die on a certain date, so 40/365 (about 11 percent), then multiply that three times. That leaves a roughly 1.3 percent chance, though someone more learned should check my math.

That math is fuzzy.
40/365 about 11 percent
1/365=.0027

11
x
.0027 = .0927
x .0027 = .0000819
x.0027 i don't know my calculator just says 0. That's how little of a chance there is. We're talking like .0000000711 chance of this happening.

Note: I failed math in college.

My calculations were just for the odds of three dying on the same day. So yeah, if you want to add in which specific day that is, you'd have to then divide it by 365 (or technically 365.25).

The odds are 100 percent, proven by the fact that it already happened.
 
mustangj17 said:
ArnoldBabar said:
mustangj17 said:
I'm still trying to figure out the odds of three presidents dying on the fourth of July.

Wouldn't it be 1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365? Then you would have to factor in that they were three men, among a group of 40 dead Presidents.

Yeah, the "1/365 x 1/365 x 1/365" only works on the odds that those specific three guys would all do it. I think you'd have to start with the odds that any of the 40 would die on a certain date, so 40/365 (about 11 percent), then multiply that three times. That leaves a roughly 1.3 percent chance, though someone more learned should check my math.

That math is fuzzy.
40/365 about 11 percent
1/365=.0027

11
x
.0027 = .0927
x .0027 = .0000819
x.0027 i don't know my calculator just says 0. That's how little of a chance there is. We're talking like .0000000711 chance of this happening.

Note: I failed math in college.

So...you're sayin there's a chance!!!!!! (Now, how do I post a photo of Jim Carrey here?)
 

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