RickStain said:
Mattingly had a much better peak than Rolen and his peak is why he's in, but for career value, the biggest difference is that Mattingly did it with singles and Rolen did it with walks and power.
you are terribly, terribly wrong here. from '84-'89 -- the start of his career that put him on a sure path to the hof -- mattingly did it with power, double, singles, everything but triples 'cause he couldn't run a bit. and in '85 and '86, mattingly was widely considered the best PLAYER in baseball. by '89, he either was tied for or held the ALL-TIME record for consecutive games with a homer AND grand slams in a season.
the back woes relegated him to 'singles hitter' status for the rest of his career, but mattingly's best six seasons compare very favorably to most hof'ers. this is abhor these discussions: i believe rolen is a terrific player. but when the 'hall of very good' folks are in the discussion with the 'hof'ers,' you end up sounding as if you're denigrating terrific players like rolen, which isn't my intent.
but ya know how sparky anderson pissed off thurman munson after the '76 world series by saying, 'don't embarrass anyone by comparing them to johnny bench?' well, the gulf between rolen's hof credentials and mattingly's is as large.
mattingly isn't in the hof but for the first six seasons of his career compare favorably to just about every hof'er in the pre-steroid era. with all due respect to rolen, there was NEVER a time in which i thought, 'wow, this guy is an hof'er.'
and this notion that n.y. players have an advantage in hof voting is a crock. mattingly's not in the hall and even a supporter such as myself understands why. but i'll tell you this: one of mattingly's peers who IS in the hof is kirby puckett. and kirby puckett wasn't in mattingly's class as a hitter in their primes. even with mattingly's 'prime' cut short, he had twice as many 100-rbi seasons. puckett's career ba was a splendid .318 to mattingly's .307; but from '84-'89, don's ba was over .330. from '90-'95, when he still should've been padding his stats (mattingly was just 29 in '90) he instead bottomed out, hitting (barely) over .300 twice; averaged LESS THAN 10 homers per season, and never again came close to 100 ribbies (he had 86 twice). it was like the 'tale of two careers.'
as for mattingly's 'singles' vs. rolen's 'power": in his first six seasons, the 'singles hitter' had 160 homers; in rolen's best six seasons, he totaled 176. so much for that weak argument.
bottom line from here is that neither mattingly nor rolen gets into the hof without a ticket. more proof that it is extraordinarily difficult to earn a plaque. and while we can all site examples when we'd argue the standards have been lowered, i very much appreciate that, for the most part, the standards remain a *****.