Running Hurricane Gustav thread

[slappy4428]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

J_D may be getting company soon.

Gustav pulled me out of SJ retirement. Being that I've been in New Orleans for a little more than a year, this guy more than has my attention.

I'm hoping the GFDL model is the outlier. But the models are more and more congregating around a Central Gulf point. I'm no hurricane expert (though I wish I was and might have been in a former life) but this guy does not look good for my fair city.

Life ain't the same without Fuerte Cantore...

 

[Fudgie the Whale]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Yeesh.

Have they fixed those levees in New Orleans? No? Oh crap.

 

[2muchcoffeeman]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Knocking on wood, it's interesting how, while in my lifetime in the 20th Century, the prevailing Atlantic hurricane would miss Cuba, veering up east of Florida and usually slamming the Carolinas.

In this century so far, I believe there has been one storm to hit there.

Meanwhile, the Gulf of Mexico is catching bullets with far more frequency than it used to, at least in my memory.

No, it's just you. Gulf Coast has always been a target zone. (I think it's all the trailer parks.)

Cape Hatteras is the most-hit US location, I believe. The concave shape of the southeastern US coast is such that the Gulf Stream and prevailing winds pull storms away from it. Very few direct hits on the east coast of Florida in my lifetime, although many storms have come in through the back door in Tampa and several have skipped up the east coast before laying waste to ... er, Cape Hatteras.

Possible Cat 5 now, by the time it hits. Saw one site that said somewhere between Nawlins and Houston.

That would be extraordinarily bad for New Orleans. The worst part of a hurricane, including the worst part of the storm surge, is on the east side of the storm.

Johnny: When you get the hell outta there, please stop off long enough to toss FuerteJ in the back of the van before leaving. :)

 

[slappy4428]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

No, it's just you. Gulf Coast has always been a target zone. (I think it's all the trailer parks.)

Cape Hatteras is the most-hit US location, I believe. The concave shape of the southeastern US coast is such that the Gulf Stream and prevailing winds pull storms away from it. Very few direct hits on the east coast of Florida in my lifetime, although many storms have come in through the back door in Tampa and several have skipped up the east coast before laying waste to ... er, Cape Hatteras.

Johnny: When you get the hell outta there, please stop off long enough to toss FuerteJ in the back of the van before leaving. :)

Of course, it might just save time if you dragged him with the van. ;D

 

[Johnny Dangerously]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

FuerteJ, my spare bedroom still has a bed in it (although it will turn into an office soon, sans bed), so the timing is fine if you need a place to stay. Let me know. The bed's here for at least another month.

Heck, I have a sofa too if another person needs a place. Now that the AC is working again (was out for three days), it's got all the creature comforts.

I'll be fine. A lot of people here still think I got hammered by Katrina, but all that happened to me is I was without power for four days. When my laptop ran out of battery power, my reports here stopped, but I was fine. Rita hit my hometown hard and led to me having six people and a dog in my 2-bedroom apartment for two weeks, but where I live is far enough inland that it would take one hell of a storm (Category 6?) to wipe me out.

They tell me Andrew kicked a little ass here in Baton Rouge in 1992, long before I moved here, but we're fairly protected from anything but the most dastardly storm. Storm surge is not a worry. Wind and rain are our primary concerns with hurricanes. If we're ever seriously affected, anything in such a storm's path between us and the Gulf would be devastated.

Del B. Vista and Jesus Muscatel got the brunt of Katrina. Those guys have a lifetime pass to stay here if need be.

New Orleans would be in trouble if this thing slid just west of it. The southwest Louisiana area doesn't need another Rita either.

FuerteJ, grab a muffaletta for me on your way here.

;D

 

[dixiehack]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Predicting hurricane tracks > 72 hours out is a mugs game. And GFDL sucked at predicting Fay. Let's don't shoot past concern straight to panic just yet.

 

[Angola!]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Predicting hurricane tracks > 72 hours out is a mugs game. And GFDL sucked at predicting Fay. Let's don't shoot past concern straight to panic just yet.

This reminds me, does anyone have the Katrina thread cached anywhere?

It was before my time and I'd like to read it, or at least some of Del B. Vista's posts.

 

[Italian_Stallion]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Predicting hurricane tracks > 72 hours out is a mugs game. And GFDL sucked at predicting Fay. Let's don't shoot past concern straight to panic just yet.

This reminds me, does anyone have the Katrina thread cached anywhere?

It was before my time and I'd like to read it, or at least some of Del B. Vista's posts.

I don't know if I could stomach that. It was horrible to watch on TV.

 

[Simon_Cowbell]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Predicting hurricane tracks > 72 hours out is a mugs game. And GFDL sucked at predicting Fay. Let's don't shoot past concern straight to panic just yet.

Well someone has to panic.

This will be a strong four, maybe a five. And it will make Gulf Coast landfall in either Mexico or here.

To javaman: In my first 36 years, there were 38 hurricane hits on Gulf coast of either Mexico or the U.S.

In the past four and a half hurricane seasons, there have been 13 such hurricane hits.

I guess we both are right in a way.

 

[Johnny Dangerously]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

I think the thread went bye bye in the great purge of 2006.

Or 2007.

 

[FuerteJ]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

FuerteJ, my spare bedroom still has a bed in it (although it will turn into an office soon, sans bed), so the timing is fine if you need a place to stay. Let me know. The bed's here for at least another month.

Heck, I have a sofa too if another person needs a place. Now that the AC is working again (was out for three days), it's got all the creature comforts.

I'll be fine. A lot of people here still think I got hammered by Katrina, but all that happened to me is I was without power for four days. When my laptop ran out of battery power, my reports here stopped, but I was fine. Rita hit my hometown hard and led to me having six people and a dog in my 2-bedroom apartment for two weeks, but where I live is far enough inland that it would take one hell of a storm (Category 6?) to wipe me out.

They tell me Andrew kicked a little ass here in Baton Rouge in 1992, long before I moved here, but we're fairly protected from anything but the most dastardly storm. Storm surge is not a worry. Wind and rain are our primary concerns with hurricanes. If we're ever seriously affected, anything in such a storm's path between us and the Gulf would be devastated.

Del B. Vista and Jesus Muscatel got the brunt of Katrina. Those guys have a lifetime pass to stay here if need be.

New Orleans would be in trouble if this thing slid just west of it. The southwest Louisiana area doesn't need another Rita either.

FuerteJ, grab a muffaletta for me on your way here.

;D

Thanks for the offer. Actually, if it does look like it's hitting between here and Mobile, I'll be working.

And if I am working, I'll make sure to link to the blog here so y'all can stay updated.

I'm hoping this won't be needed.

 

[Herbert Anchovy]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

This is not looking like a non-event.

 

[Johnny Dangerously]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Well, damn. Can you get me a muffaletta anyway, FuerteJ? Or should I plan to bring you something from here?

 

[Simon_Cowbell]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

This is not looking like a non-event.

Now, we're learning.

Home Depot and Publix and Weather Channel executives .... start your salivating!

 

[Herbert Anchovy]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

Ha ha ha -- this is a recessionary economy, you know, even for Home Depot.

 

[Johnny Dangerously]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

http://www.amazon.com/Excalibur-Electronic-Weather-Channel-Extreme/dp/B000RH1I6Q

Hey, how do I make that link say whatever I want it to say? I know so little html ...

But anyway, this is not a bad investment:

 

[Herbert Anchovy]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

I'm just glad I still have Grandad's transistor.

 

[Italian_Stallion]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

I have to admit that I'm relieved it's not coming here. After all, Fay might be gone from the radar, but it's not quite in the past here:

 

[Johnny Dangerously]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

That's a lot of nonwater.

 

[Simon_Cowbell]

Re: Hurricane wonks: Meet Gustav

I have to admit that I'm relieved it's not coming here. After all, Fay might be gone from the radar, but it's not quite in the past here:

That's about three feet. We got water 3/4 the way up the driveway in 1999 during Irene.