dooley_womack1 said:
Why couldn't you see that in a newspaper? And how does he define insightful?
Approaching this as a fan and not as a journalist (if nothing else but because nothing I do in journalism will ever approach the big leagues).
You won't see it in newspapers because the newspaper caters to a much broader audience.
Baseball fans are a whole wide world. Most of them are happy with gamers and player features, so that's what newspapers give them.
There's a subset of fans who want a helluva lot more. We're a smaller group, but we consume a ****-ton more baseball content, so there's money to be made off of us that newspapers don't seem interested in touching, because it's not part of their broad-based business model.
Here's an example story from this Cubs fan from this offseason.
There are/were three important Cuban prospects this offseason: Yoennis Cespedes, Jorge Soler and Gerardo Concepcion.
The Cubs' message boards I frequent were buzzing about them from early on in the offseason. Cespedes was a guy who might be able to contribute immediately, Soler is a higher-ceilinged, long-term project teenager, and Concepcion is a moderately interesting 20-year-old pitching prospect with a low ceiling but surprising polish for his age.
Anyway, Cespedes obviously hit the mainstream when his workout video came out, and I think I saw the other two mentioned occasionally in Chicago's big papers' coverage.
Over the winter, I saw scouting reports on these players, I saw statistical projections based on past Cuban imports, I saw scouting analysis of the few video clips that could be found on the guys. I didn't see any of that in the newspapers' coverage.
Sometime around December, a poster on one of the Cubs message boards said that the team was heavily interested in all three Cubans. This poster doesn't post often, but he's broken news on several pieces of team news in that past that only someone with inside knowledge could know, so he's got credibility. Things like 23rd round draft picks signing and the dollar amounts weeks before anyone else had them. I didn't see that in the newspapers either.
So anyway, in early February the rumors start showing up that the Cubs have come to an agreement with Gerardo Concepcion. The dollar amount was for quite a bit more than many had predicted, and he got a major-league deal (which limits the amount of time that he can spend in the minors, and increases the amount of money he can get in early seasons in the majors).
So for us hardcore fans, there were two blaring questions that just had to be asked:
1) How was the contract structured? A total dollar amount was being reported, but the breakdown between signing bonus and yearly salary wasn't. Different combinations of bonus/salary would yield wildly different salaries down the road if he makes it to the majors.
2) How fast do the Cubs have him throwing? He reportedly (not by the newspapers) had done some private workouts for high-level Cubs brass at some point in the offseason, and at his age it's possible that he had either added some velocity or the Cubs saw something in his mechanics that made them think he could add velocity.
Those are two questions that only the Cubs would know, and something only someone with access to the Cubs' front office could ask. They should be the most obvious questions in the world to anyone who had been following the story.
So when the newspapers did a story on the signing the next day, it was incredibly frustrating to see that neither of those questions were asked or reported on. We got 8-column inch puff pieces announcing the signings and giving some generic GM-quote scouting reports about how he's a young lefty with good command.
To the hardcore baseball fan, that kind of thing happens all the time, which is why none of us particularly care about newspaper coverage of baseball. It's fast-food coverage, and there's nothing wrong with fast food (shut up), but that's what it is.
And I'm guessing "heavily sophisticated scouting analyses of minor leaguers" equals taking stats and sabering them 10 miles from Sunday.
Not at all. Not even close.
The sabermetric community as you are thinking of it is more or less dead. There's a few dinosaurs still floating around out there of course, but history has passed them by.
In the last few years especially, the cutting edge of sabermetrics has pretty much accepted that the box score has been sliced and diced just about as far as it possibly can be and there's not much left to be gleaned from hacking around with more statistics. There's been a renewed interest in learning about scouting and what it brings to the table. When statheads talk about pitchers these days, you might think you were listening to scouts. They talk about velocity, movement, release point, repeatibility of mechanics.
The SABR/scouting war is more or less over. Each side had to give up some conceits that were making them misunderstand some aspect of the game, and now they are working together quite nicely to complement each other.