Help Layman Parlay

[Layman]

Heading to Vegas this weekend. I love putting a few coins on some games out there, tend to do ok. My worst habit, however, is messing around with the parlay cards. Save the lectures.....can't help myself ;D I feel like I have a pretty good idea of how the gague the numbers from my region (Big Ten and MAC), maybe some of you can give my some ideas from their region. Particularly interested in the Saturday matchups, do like to fool with the pros, much.

So, anyone see any tempting numbers out there?

Of course, if this isn't the sort of thing we should be discussing on the board....please feel free to lock it up!

 

[JackReacher]

Auburn -6
Northwestern +5.5
Okla State +5.5
Oklahoma -3

This week's NFL lines blow. Nothing but 3s.

 

[Layman]

NFL always scares me.

Can't decide whether I really like Northwestern. I KNOW that Sparty is going to sh*t the bed, at some point. Once they start, they may never stop. But Northwestern just isn't very good, record aside. Just can't quite get my head wrapped around that one.

LSU & OK State were both on my list. Good to see someone else like those.

 

[JackReacher]

I don't like LSU in that game. I like Auburn.

 

[Layman]

As do I.....fingers got ahead of brain.....

 

[Pancamo]

NFL always scares me.

Can't decide whether I really like Northwestern. I KNOW that Sparty is going to sh*t the bed, at some point. Once they start, they may never stop. But Northwestern just isn't very good, record aside. Just can't quite get my head wrapped around that one.

LSU & OK State were both on my list. Good to see someone else like those.

MSU-Northwestern dropped from 7 to 5.5 fast. Is it wiseguy money or the public?

 

[blacktitleist]

That's wiseguy money. Public $$ can't make a line move like that this early.

1.5 points is a huge move. They jumped right on that one when they saw it.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

NFL always scares me.

Can't decide whether I really like Northwestern. I KNOW that Sparty is going to sh*t the bed, at some point. Once they start, they may never stop. But Northwestern just isn't very good, record aside. Just can't quite get my head wrapped around that one.

LSU & OK State were both on my list. Good to see someone else like those.

MSU-Northwestern dropped from 7 to 5.5 fast. Is it wiseguy money or the public?

Both, sorta. There's a very, VERY popular tout sheet out there which
features an Underdog of the Week. This week, it's Northwestern.
Sheet gains wide distribution on Tuesday, which (in NO coincidence)
was the date of the line move. This specific Underdog of the Week release
moves prices 1 - 1 1/2 points most weeks, like clockwork. There you go.

 

[Pancamo]

NFL always scares me.

Can't decide whether I really like Northwestern. I KNOW that Sparty is going to sh*t the bed, at some point. Once they start, they may never stop. But Northwestern just isn't very good, record aside. Just can't quite get my head wrapped around that one.

LSU & OK State were both on my list. Good to see someone else like those.

MSU-Northwestern dropped from 7 to 5.5 fast. Is it wiseguy money or the public?

Both, sorta. There's a very, VERY popular tout sheet out there which
features an Underdog of the Week. This week, it's Northwestern.
Sheet gains wide distribution on Tuesday, which (in NO coincidence)
was the date of the line move. This specific Underdog of the Week release
moves prices 1 - 1 1/2 points most weeks, like clockwork. There you go.

How has the Underdog of the Week performed so far?

 

[mustangj17]

Auburn -6
Northwestern +5.5
Okla State +5.5
Oklahoma -3

This week's NFL lines blow. Nothing but 3s.

NO-NO-NO-

Not Northwestern. Chicago is the home to the most MSU alumni. Even more than East Lansing, Lansing and Detroit. Seriously, get away from Northwestern. MSU could have a homefield advantage. THey did two years ago. Place was packed with green.

 

[JackReacher]

Why are you screaming?

 

[mustangj17]

Why are you screaming?

I don't want you to lose your bankroll.

 

[JackReacher]

I don't have a strong feeling on that game. It's just one that stuck out to me. I figure MSU is gonna fall hard at some point. I'll take a shot.

 

[Mizzougrad96]

Find someone who has a good knowledge of mid-level college teams and have them pick three for you. One of the rare places where the oddsmakers don't know what they're talking about. I'm talking about the Toledos and the Western Michigans and the Ball States of the world.

That's the only time I've ever won a parlay, when a friend who covered one of those leagues was advising us.

 

[JackReacher]

I think Ball State was something like a 26-point underdog not long ago and won. I can't remember how badly they won. I want to say they won handily, but I could be wrong.

 

[Layman]

Couple of thoughts:

Arizona is -6.5 vs. Washington (opened -7.5), with Foles out. I like Washington here.

Also Texas Tech-Colorado opened pick, now is Tech -3. Think I may still like Tech.

Anyone have any thoughts on these?

 

[Mizzougrad96]

Tech should kill Colorado.

 

[nmmetsfan]

I wouldn't touch Tech as a road favorite

 

[MileHigh]

I'd stay away from it as well just because you never know what Colorado team will show up. They actually might rally around Hawkins and the fans will storm the field, which seems to happen anytime they win a game.

 

[Ben_Hecht]

NFL always scares me.

Can't decide whether I really like Northwestern. I KNOW that Sparty is going to sh*t the bed, at some point. Once they start, they may never stop. But Northwestern just isn't very good, record aside. Just can't quite get my head wrapped around that one.

LSU & OK State were both on my list. Good to see someone else like those.

MSU-Northwestern dropped from 7 to 5.5 fast. Is it wiseguy money or the public?

Both, sorta. There's a very, VERY popular tout sheet out there which
features an Underdog of the Week. This week, it's Northwestern.
Sheet gains wide distribution on Tuesday, which (in NO coincidence)
was the date of the line move. This specific Underdog of the Week release
moves prices 1 - 1 1/2 points most weeks, like clockwork. There you go.

How has the Underdog of the Week performed so far?

56%+ ATS, long-term . . . just last week, it was SDS over Air Force . . . one minute, they
were +3, next minute, it was pick . . . closed AF -1, and SDS won the whole game, of course.
As noted, it's been the source of many major college line moves, over the years.
I wouldn't follow it blind, but if you like the side it spotlights, you shouldn't feel bad about it.