Gambling Thread

[Batman]

The bad news: I went 5-for-15 on my props.
The good news: It was enough to more or less break even. Bet $95 and will claw back $89.50. I can live with that as the cost of entertainment.

The hits:
• Punt downed inside the 5 yard line (YES) — Got TWO of them downed in there!
• First score is a Seahawks field goal — Bet both sides of it. Lost a dollar or so not betting "either" at +115, but the Seahawks were +295 so it still paid well.
• Total players with a rushing attempt U7.5 — Once JSN went out and the Patriots showed a little bit of life, enough to keep Darnold in the game, this was in the bag. This is quickly becoming my favorite and easiest Super Bowl prop bet each year because you can track usage and do the math on how many people actually run the ball on each team. Might need to go heavier on it next year.
• Bryce Baringer longest punt U55.5 — He had one in the second quarter that was initially recorded at 56 yards, then got corrected to 55. Score!
• Kenneth Walker 10+ rushing yards in each quarter (YES) — Had to sweat this one and check the gamebook, but it hit. He had exactly 10 yards in the third quarter after getting hit for a 2-yard loss on his last carry. Comfortably over in the other three quarters.

Drake Maye's flip to Stevenson for the Pats' last touchdown cost me some money. Had Maye on an anytime TD bet and to get a pass and rush TD, so both of those blew up. So did the either team to score a two-point conversion.

Seattle's last field goal also hurt me. Had the shortest made field goal O27.5 yards, and it was 26. A stupid 3-yard completion on third down got them just close enough to knock it under.

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

Lost 70 cents on my bets. Would have come out 10 bucks ahead if Henderson didn’t make that last catch. I’ve got something coming from Stevenson on the FanDuel TD jackpot. And $15 win on my squares entries. So a little profit.

It doesn’t quite match the 20/22 college hoops heater I’m on (Chicago State Monday?), but I’ll take it.

 

[exmediahack]

My final sheet.

WIN - BEST BET: NE O9.5 points second half.

WIN - 2nd Half more points than 1st Half -150

LOSS - 1Q: Darnold U51.5 passing yards THREE units

WIN - 1Q: May U43.5 passing yards

WIN - 1Q: Both teams to score NO -175

WIN - 1Q: Cupp O5.5 receiving yards

LOSS - Patriots lead at halftime/ Seahawks win game +600

LOSS - 23 YARDS - 1H Stevenson O24.5 rushing yards

WIN - Maye O30.5 pass attempts

LOSS - WIN - Maye O6.5 rushing attempts and O34.5 yards

WIN NE to punt 3x in the game before SEA. (Caesars)


WIN- Kickoff returns O6.5

WIN- SEA most offensive plays -120

WIN- SEA to score first in 2Q: -120

WIN - SEA first team to get 25+ yards in one play -150

WIN - 2H OVER 21.5 -110

WIN - SEA to punt last -110

WIN- NE O3.5 total punts

LOSS - Longest FG O48.5

WIN - SEA punts O3.5

WIN - SEA longest TD -140

LOSS - SEA Smith-Njigba O1 rushing yard +280 FanDuel

LOSS - SEA Shaheed O3.5 rushing yards (he’s a receiver)

WIN - NE Stevenson longest catch O11.5 yards

LOSS - More than 2.5 players to throw a pass -120

ALL LOSS:
Fun longshots.

Henderson 30+ receiving yards +900

Hook and Ladder? YES +1200 (Caesar’s)

Each team to attempt a 2-pt conversion? Yes +550

Will this score be the same as any of the previous 59 Super Bowls? YES +400 (Caesar’s)

 

[Cosmo]

Would have put my money behind JSN as MVP and lost. Virginia does not allow betting on subjective props, so it wasn't on the board anyway.

 

[Cosmo]

Lost 70 cents on my bets. Would have come out 10 bucks ahead if Henderson didn’t make that last catch. I’ve got something coming from Stevenson on the FanDuel TD jackpot. And $15 win on my squares entries. So a little profit.

It doesn’t quite match the 20/22 college hoops heater I’m on (Chicago State Monday?), but I’ll take it.

Cougars are -2.5 at home against Saint Francis today. Who you got?

 

[BurnsWhenIPee]

I just went straight bets on Seahawks -4.5 and under 45.5, then parlayed those together in a separate bet. Didn't want to get into any of the props. So won a few hundred.

Also had a "bonus bet" of a parlay with Seattle -4.5, under 46.5 and JSN for an anytime touchdown. But that loss didn't cost me anything.

I got in a squares pool at work where I purchased 4 of them. My numbers were garbage and I grouped my squares together, which I realized was a foolish move before the numbers were drawn, so I basically forgot about them.

Looking back on it this morning, I realized how close I came - had Seahawks 9 and Patriots 4 and 5. So on New England's last touchdown, where they went for 2 and didn't convert, if they would have kicked the PAT, or converted the 2-point conversion, I would have won $1,000.

REALLY glad that I wasn't following it closely - I probably would have lost sleep on it last night.

 

[BYH 2: Electric Boogaloo]

Cougars are -2.5 at home against Saint Francis today. Who you got?

****ing degenerates, you and @TheSportsPredictor. Seek help. (Also who do you like on Charleston-UNCW, that's a tough toss-up )

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

Cougars are -2.5 at home against Saint Francis today. Who you got?

I don’t see any edge in this one, so would just be a guess. Saint Francis killed them three weeks ago, but who knows what a change in venues will do. SF has won just away from home, including neutral court games. Chicago State has won two of three, lost just by two right before, and had that ultimate screwup against Stonehill not long ago so they could be on a four-of-eight stretch.

Don’t know anything about the actual players, if all the same people are in, anyone hurt or whatever. I’ll lean Chicago State, but just for coffee money.

 

[ChrisLong]

My kid was cursed with 9 & 0. Then hit the halftime score for $200. Near the end, I'm rooting for the Pats to go 95 yards for another TD, then go for 2 and miss. That would have also been another 9 & 0 and a big payoff.
Hoping the impossible happens is typical of squares. I'm usually sitting there hoping my team can get two safeties in the last five minutes to make me a winner.

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

****ing degenerates, you and @TheSportsPredictor. Seek help. (Also who do you like on Charleston-UNCW, that's a tough toss-up )

Hey, Buster, I won easy on Hofstra against Towson, why were they only giving 4.5?? Books were just giving away money that day.

Wilmington has beaten everyone they’ve faced at Charleston’s level (Navy, Marshall, Valpo, Drexel, Campbell) except Kent and William & Mary and those were both in the road.

Charleston beat W&M and Drexel and Campbell — all at home — and the teams are about equal in the conference.

Gotta give it to the hoity-toitys (that’s College OF Charleston), though the under 148 looks way better!

 

[BurnsWhenIPee]

My kid was cursed with 9 & 0. Then hit the halftime score for $200. Near the end, I'm rooting for the Pats to go 95 yards for another TD, then go for 2 and miss. That would have also been another 9 & 0 and a big payoff.
Hoping the impossible happens is typical of squares. I'm usually sitting there hoping my team can get two safeties in the last five minutes to make me a winner.

Exactly. I was telling my wife about my near-hit this morning, and she said, "That doesn't even feel like real gambling - feels more like playing the lotto"

She gets it.

 

[BYH 2: Electric Boogaloo]

Hey, Buster, I won easy on Hofstra against Towson, why were they only giving 4.5?? Books were just giving away money that day.

Wilmington has beaten everyone they’ve faced at Charleston’s level (Navy, Marshall, Valpo, Drexel, Campbell) except Kent and William & Mary and those were both in the road.

Charleston beat W&M and Drexel and Campbell — all at home — and the teams are about equal in the conference.

Gotta give it to the hoity-toitys (that’s College OF Charleston), though the under 148 looks way better!

Haha Towson is the most bizarre team in the land. Preseason favorite, won nice neutral site games against Rhode Island and Liberty, then started 0-4 in the league, then won four straight, then lost to last-place NC A&T to start a two-game skid and then blew out Hampton by 32 w/o their best player, who returned Saturday. Last two Towson @ Hofstra games were decided by four pts or fewer. That line seemed fair. And then got their doors blown off.

 

[MileHigh]

My kid was cursed with 9 & 0. Then hit the halftime score for $200. Near the end, I'm rooting for the Pats to go 95 yards for another TD, then go for 2 and miss. That would have also been another 9 & 0 and a big payoff.
Hoping the impossible happens is typical of squares. I'm usually sitting there hoping my team can get two safeties in the last five minutes to make me a winner.

I was stuck with 8 and 8. And the pool paid out borders and reverse numbers. Never had a chance.

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

I didn’t even remember til I looked, I had Hofstra to beat Towson on the moneyline in their first meeting. Thank you, Flying Dutchmen!

 

[BYH 2: Electric Boogaloo]

****ing sicko get a life loooooser!!!!!!

 

[Cosmo]

I was stuck with 8 and 8. And the pool paid out borders and reverse numbers. Never had a chance.

I had 6 and 6. Woof.

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

Chicago State actually getting a point and a half vs. Stonehill tonight. Revenge game after brilliantly screwing up their last meeting?

And the Charleston Hoity-Toities hosting the Hofstra Townies tonight as a small dog. Should Charleston be getting points after winning at Hofstra a couple weeks ago? Hofstra needs it more than Charleston for one of the top four seeds in the CAA tourney.

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

Arrest Warrant: Chief Bet $4.4M Online - New Haven Independent

 

[BYH 2: Electric Boogaloo]

He'll have a cabinet position by Friday.

 

[TheSportsPredictor]

Won a little NFL handicapping contest with some friends based on the Westgate contest. Dude running it enters the actual contest every year.

Aside from winning a couple hundred bucks, I got this nifty little tshirt from the contest: