JayFarrar said:
Actually as Paul Krugman pointed out, it would take a huge swing for the Dems to get Congress back.
He did the math, and the way the vast majority of the districts are put together, it keeps them either Republican or Democrat.
Very, very few are in a race that is truly up in the air.
The Democrats could -- again -- win the majority of the popular vote overall in the congressional races and still not have the majority.
This is an excellent point. And the main reason why I won't be doing any crowing before election day, no matter what the polls say.
I've got five beers in me right now -- great idea, as I have to cover a college football game with a 12:30 kick tomorrow, er, today -- so someone could check the numbers and prove me wrong: If I remember correctly, more Americans cast votes for a Democratic Congressman in 2002, and '04, than a GOP one.
Think of it this way: The roughly 8 million people of greater Los Angeles, who by in large vote Democratic, get two Senators they have to share with the rest of California. The 8 million residents of Utah, Wyoming, Montana and Idaho, who tend to vote Republican, have eight senators all to themselves.
I may be off on the population figures, but do you see the point? As long as the rural states vote Republican, the Democrats are always going to be in an uphill battle for control of Congress.
And Lyman: Oh, please. The Bushies have badly missed on their budget projections heretofore; why on Earth should we believe them now? And for the Nth time: Those deficit figures do not include war expeditures; therefore, they are a complete joke.