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Time Magazine's Presidential Odds...

Discussion in 'Anything goes' started by Mizzougrad96, Feb 4, 2007.

  1. Mizzougrad96

    Mizzougrad96 Active Member

    According to Time Magazine, these are the odds to win the presidency...

    Hillary Clinton - 11 to 8
    John McCain - 5 to 1
    John Edwards - 11 to 2
    Barack Obama - 7 to 1
    Rudy Giuliani - 11 to 1
    Al Gore - 14 to 1
    Mitt Romney - 20 to 1
    Newt Gingrich - 50 to 1
    Mike Huckabee - 50 to 1


    To me, it seems absurd that Hillary is that big a favorite.

    Thoughts?
     
  2. spnited

    spnited Active Member

    21 months before the election...totally useless bullshit.
     
  3. D.Sanchez

    D.Sanchez Member

    Mitt Romney at 20 to 1 is an interesting play.
     
  4. Duane Postum

    Duane Postum Member

    What he said. C'mon.
     
  5. shotglass

    shotglass Guest

    So many ways that can play out, 11-8 for Hillary is rather foolish.
     
  6. D.Sanchez

    D.Sanchez Member

    But what else do we have to talk about today?
     
  7. Football_Bat

    Football_Bat Well-Known Member

    Based on the history of each party's nominating process and how strongly Edwards ran in the early primaries / caucuses in Aught-Four, I'd put some money on the Faceman.

    But since Gore hasn't declared anything yet, I'd lay down a C-note on him as a prop before he declares and the money starts going his way.
     
  8. Lugnuts

    Lugnuts Well-Known Member

    All the polling I've seen is not favorable to Hillary. The only thing she seems to have going for her is money, but if she places 3rd or 4th in Iowa, her $$ takes a hit.

    For Hillary, the inconvenient truth is that Al Gore might run.

    Carville says he sees Gore running as a definite.

    I'd love to get TigerVols thoughts on this....
     
  9. Jack_Kerouac

    Jack_Kerouac Member

    If there were only three or four candidates announced, I could see someone being listed at 11-8. But with such a crowded field already, I can't see it making any sense to have anyone at better than 3-1 or 4-1 at this point.
     
  10. Billy Monday

    Billy Monday Member

    Based on money raised alone, Hillary is the clear frontrunner for the Dem nomination. Based on the national climate, the Dems are favored for the presidency. I think that's why she's favored overall.

    Still, will she carry even one state in the South? Will she even carry Arkansas?
    She'll have to outKerry Kerry, winning both coasts and hope for Ohio.
     
  11. For once I'm in agreement with Mizzou. (Stop the presses!) I think Hillary turns off lots of people. I would love to see Webb run...
     
  12. Mizzougrad96

    Mizzougrad96 Active Member

    I still say the only way she wins is if the Republicans are stupid enough to run someone who is ultra conservative like Gingrich or one of the other longshots...
     
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