Rudy's Campaign Hits Another Bump

http://electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/blog/electioncentral/2007/jun/25/rudys_new_sc_chair_has_history_of_racially_charged_remarks

If you're keeping score at home, the drug dealer's father is a racist.
Things are in a bit of a spiral in SC.

 

Jesus. A 14-car pileup has more forward momentum than Rudy's campaign at this point.

 

Honestly, this field of republicans is exceedingly weak.

Rudy is going nowhere, and neither is McCain.

 

Actually, McCain is going somewhere... in reverse.

That's the direction someone who has performed more contortions than a Twister loser should be going.

 

If the election were today:

Clinton, Thompson.

Actual primaries:

Obama, Romney.

 

Dems: Barack Obama
GOP: Fred Thompson
POTUS: Obama

 

Agree.

 

Fred Thompson is getting a GOP nomination on a stick ... and he hasn't even officially entered the race.

I think it's too early to count Hillary out, but it's definitely up for grabs between her and Obama. There will be an also-ran (like Tsongas did in '92 and Edwards last time) that gets some buzz in the early primaries, but it'll be between the top 2 in the end.

I'd love to see a brokered convention. Man, the chips and salsa I'd polish off ....

 

Dem: Hillary Clinton
GOP: Mitt Romney
POTUS: Hillary Clinton

 

Here's my prediction on another front:

Thompson will never be as popular as he is exactly one week from his announcement. It will all be downhill after that.

 

Gore's the next president if he announces.
If it is Rudy v. Hillary, expect to see a strong showing by third-party candidate but going for the Dems this time like it did in 1992 with Clinton and with history repeating itself.
It depends on how ugly it gets on the Repubs side, but I suspect that the third-party candidate will get more popular votes than Rudy and possibly even more than the Dems candidate, but the Electoral College don't work that way.