Election 2006. You Make The Call

Let's go big brains, not what you want to happen, but what you think will happen

 

I'm on record elsewhere, but I'll repeat: I think the Dems win the house (I'll guess a 25-seat pick-up) and the Senate will be a 50-50 split [or if you want to get technical, a 49-49-1 (Jeffords)-1 (Lieberman)]

The closest races to watch (in order of closeness) are:
- McCaskill (D) def. Talent (R) in Missourri
- Menendez (D) over Kean Jr. (R) in New Jersey
- Corker (R) def. Ford (D) in Tenn.
- Allen (R) over Webb (D) in Va.

I'm not well enough schooled to analyze the House race-by-race, but I look for big Dem. pickups in Ohio and New York along with moderate gains and very competitive races in Pennsylvania.

 

PoO -- if your scenario played out, the Dems would control the Senate because Bernie Sanders and Joey L. will caucus with the Dems, giving them a 51-49 advantage.

I'm predicting a 50-50 Senate and the Dems pick up 20 seats in the House.

 

D-- 30-seat pick up in the House, and I'm goddamned if I can call the Senate. Tennessee, Virginia, and Missouri are just too close, and it's hard to know which way the last week will cut, but I'll guess that the D's will fall one race short.

 

Enlighten me, please.

 

Dems assume House control, with a five-seat edge.

Dems win three Senate seats.

Good enough.

 

Can't bitch with POO's assessment. The Dems will take the House. But the Senate vote will not be final. Lieberman will be whipped with money to go GOP as much as Jeffords and Chafee will be to go Dem. Jury will be out well into Aught-Seven.

 

Chaffee's not going to be there.

 

Yeah, Sheldon Whitehouse III is going to take Chafee's spot. I saw Chafee on C-SPAN in the primary against Steve Laffey and against Whitehouse, and let me tell you, he couldn't debate his way out of a wet paper sack.

 

In fact, he looks rather like a wet paper sack.

 

Where's the "It really doesn't matter, because once they get into office both Demoracts and Republicans become Incumbents who are more interested in personal gains than serving the people who elected them" option in that poll?

 

I don't think they're polling Useless Apathystan this time around.