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WTF??? Michigan an 8-point favorite?

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by JayFarrar, Sep 5, 2007.

  1. JayFarrar

    JayFarrar Well-Known Member

    I assume this is posted on another thread, but it deserves one of its own.
    How in the holy F*** is Michigan an 8-point favorite at home against Oregon?
    Do the Ducks suck that bad or is it that Vegas thinks the Appy loss was a once in a lifetime bump?
    The over under is 64 and a half. The second highest, and really the highest since freakshow Hawaii plays LA Tech this weekend.
    Weird man, just weird.
  2. Mystery_Meat

    Mystery_Meat Guest

    I'd put a 20 on Michigan to cover. They're going to prove themselves, or they're going to watch this whole season go straight to hell. This is a big game, and I think they'll play accordingly.

    Eight-point spread seems reasonable. A team in the top 40 should be a solid home favorite over Oregon.
  3. wickedwritah

    wickedwritah Guest

    8 is in the danger zone. Oregon's a better bet to cover than Michigan.
  4. farmerjerome

    farmerjerome Active Member

    What he said.
  5. StaggerLee

    StaggerLee Active Member

    The over/under is a little high, IMHO, but I think the 8-point spread is a pretty safe bet. Oregon hasn't scored in three trips to the Big House, but of course, this is a different Oregon team and a different Michigan defense.

    Oregon also doesn't play well away from home. I expect Michigan to win by at least eight, probably two touchdowns.
  6. Songbird

    Songbird Well-Known Member

    Michigan will come out pissed off and put up 21 early. After that, it's a matter of Oregon deciding to play or not.
  7. PCLoadLetter

    PCLoadLetter Well-Known Member

    Disclaimer: I'm an Oregon alum.

    I think the 8 points is excessive. Michigan didn't lose to Appalachian State by a fluke. They lost in large part because they're too damn slow. It's not a good team this year.

    I'm not sure how good the Ducks are going to be this year but I think they have a very good shot in this game. And I have no idea what the over/under is, but I'd bet the over.
  8. zeke12

    zeke12 Guest

    That line is also likely influence heavily by the greater #'s and $'s being laid on the Wolverines.

    Lines are designed to get people to bet on the game, not predict the outcome.

    Check out a Notre Dame line some time.
  9. Rufino

    Rufino Active Member

    Michigan's lost 5 of 6 against the Pac Ten this decade, including to the Ducks 4 years ago in Eugene. I can't imagine anyone confidently placing money on this game with that spread, but if I had to I'd want the points.
  10. wickedwritah

    wickedwritah Guest

    If I were betting, I'd bet on many make-gooders putting too much on Michigan and seeing the line rise. I'd bet on Oregon once it gets to double-digits.
  11. playthrough

    playthrough Moderator Staff Member

    Bookies will make a killing off the knee-jerk reaction of people to bet against Michigan. I'm with Mystery Meat, Michigan has to bring it this week. Oregon will have less of an edge too, having watched the App St. game. I like Michigan at -8, and last I checked, it's -8.5.

    Notre Dame +17.5 at Penn State is another one where you can't just throw in the towel on the team who got pounded in Week 1. Take those points.
  12. JayFarrar

    JayFarrar Well-Known Member

    I'm going Michigan in my pool.
    Lots will bet Oregon just because, but hometeam has an overwhelming edge, in most cases, Michigan being the exception last week.
    Jesus's school isn't in the pool this week, all praise be to Allah.
    My pool uses the spread, but only to award points based on level of upset, another reason why people will go Oregon.
    Here's the games...
    11 a.m., Sat., ABC
    Line: Oklahoma by 10
    * Underdog worth four points in this game

    2:30 p.m., Sat., ABC
    Line: Michigan by 8
    * Underdog worth three points in this game

    South Carolina-Georgia
    4:45 p.m., Sat., ESPN2
    Line: Georgia by 4

    6 p.m., Sat., Fox Sports Net
    Line: Texas by 9
    * Underdog worth four points in this game

    Virginia Tech-LSU
    8:15 p.m., Sat., ESPN
    Line: LSU by 12
    * Underdog worth four points in this game
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