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Tropical Storm Florence threatens ... a lot of fish

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Mystery_Meat, Sep 3, 2006.

  1. Mystery_Meat

    Mystery_Meat Guest

    Or: Evacuate your homes, Aunt Flo is on the way
    OR: Flo to East Coast -- kiss my grits!

    [​IMG]

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INITIAL 03/2100Z 14.6N 40.4W 30 KT
    12HR VT 04/0600Z 15.6N 41.9W 35 KT
    24HR VT 04/1800Z 16.8N 43.6W 40 KT
    36HR VT 05/0600Z 17.7N 45.0W 45 KT
    48HR VT 05/1800Z 18.5N 46.7W 50 KT
    72HR VT 06/1800Z 20.0N 50.0W 55 KT
    96HR VT 07/1800Z 21.5N 54.0W 65 KT
    120HR VT 08/1800Z 23.0N 59.0W 75 KT

    And lest you think Ernesto didn't leave long-lasting effects in Florida, click here
     
  2. BigDog

    BigDog Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    Anything that's set to become a hurricane that far east of Puerto Rico is, um, not good.
     
  3. Columbo

    Columbo Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    South Florida is almost out of play, though, good news for the people who have gotten the most hurricanes the past two and a half seasons.
     
  4. BigDog

    BigDog Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    I never understand this crap. How can anything be out of play yet?
     
  5. Columbo

    Columbo Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    Well.... if the hurricane stays pretty flat west instead of the projection, sofla would be in play.

    But once a storm gets north of your area, it won't jiggle south... unless it happens tot totally stall.

    You're right though.... I should have said that if it splits the cone, it takes SoFla out of play.
     
  6. BigDog

    BigDog Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    I've split a cone or two in my day.
     
  7. Mystery_Meat

    Mystery_Meat Guest

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    One thing that doesn't take SoFla out of play yet is a high pressure ridge expected to develop and flatten the track westbound over time. Of course, all this is well off in the future. Right now the only people who can feel confident this isn't their storm are people in the Winward Islands, the Caymans and the Bay of Campeche areas.

    Of course, the stupid thing could die or get sent northeast and become a fish storm.
     
  8. SF_Express

    SF_Express Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    Actually, the other thing I heard the other day is that if it becomes a hurricane real early, way out, that the chances of it being a major factor to the U.S. mainland are diminished, as happened with Debbie.
     
  9. Columbo

    Columbo Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    The cone does show that ever-so-slight bend.
     
  10. Hank_Scorpio

    Hank_Scorpio Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    So we're talking about two weeks or so before it gets close to the US shoreline?
     
  11. Mystery_Meat

    Mystery_Meat Guest

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    Columbo: Here's a map of the various computer models and where they think soon-to-be Florence might go (can and will change often, of course):

    [​IMG]

    Hank: Probably 7-10 days away if it does make a move here. More a heads-up that something's brewing and the computers early on have it being a possible threat instead of doing the Bermuda High Hop and shooting out into the North Atlantic.
     
  12. 2muchcoffeeman

    2muchcoffeeman Active Member

    Re: New depression expected to become Florence, possible East Coast threat

    Seems like usually when a storm gets busy in that area, it becomes a serious threat only to the Azores.
     
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