The end of the 300-game winner?

That's who I was going to say. He's 26 with 78 wins.
Johan's 28 with 89 wins

 

No way in hell does Pedro get to 300. He'll be throwing left-handed before he gets there. As for Verlander, Jered Weaver and all the other young guns, I'm not going to make any projections whatsoever until they have at least six full seasons under their collective belts.

 

Johan would have to win 20 a year for the next 10 years.

Outside shot, but damn, that's a long road.

 

Time for a Cole Hamels threadjack?

 

spnited's head might explode.

 

Do you really think these guys are going to pitch until 41 or 42? They make so much money there is no incentive to keep going that long.

So let's say Zambrano had 85 at the end of this season.
15 a year until he's 40 still leaves him a little short.

Let's say Johan has 95 at the end of this season.
15 a year until he's 40 leaves him a little short.

Verlander, age 24.. maybe he has 35 wins at the end of this season. 15 a year until he's 40 leaves him short.

You're counting on these guys being at or near the top of their games for another 12 or14 or 16 more seasons and having the desire to pitch until their 40. I don't see that happening.


Think about it.. you have to average 15 wins a year for 20 years to hit 300. The majority of these guys are not going to have 20-year careers.

 

I don't think it's likely, spnited, but those are active guys who have a prayer. The only way I see any of them doing it is to throw in a couple monster years of 25-26 wins.

 

And Blyleven looks better and better...

 

If they get to 250 or so before age 40 and are still healthy, that milestone takes priority over money.

 

That's a good point.

Plus, look at Glavine, Maddux, Clemens, Johnson ... these guys are pitching well in to their 40s. Why is it so hard to believe that these younger guys would do the same ... especially if they're approaching a milestone?

 

Yeah, I think I've read something about him recently.