The Big Unit

Double J · Jun 7, 2009

budcrew08 said:

BYH said:

Lee Jackson Beauregard said:

I listened to someone tonight make the case that Felix Hernandez will win 300 games.
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He's as reasonable a guess as anyone. Forty-four wins two months after his 23rd birthday, figure he could be at 70 by 25. He's thrown a lot by today's standards (10 110-pitch games last year, three this year, 29 in 115 career starts), but nothing Doc Gooden-esque.
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What about Halladay? He's 10-1 this season, he has 141 wins, only 32. And he's a workhorse, probably would pitch at least 10 more years.
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From Page 4:

Double J said:

Sea Bass said:

Moderator1 said:

He's been real good a long time. And he's HALF WAY there.
HALF WAY!
300 is a lot of fucking games.
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You're right. But I still think he's got a shot. I realize he'd have to be fortunate and stay healthy pretty much the whole time, but I wouldn't rule it out.
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Neither would I.

He'll have at least 150 wins at year's end. He's averaged 17.5 wins a year over his past six full seasons. If he only maintains that average for the next eight years after this one, that's 140 more wins. At worst, he'll be 10 away. And there's nothing to suggest that Doc, a genuine workhorse, won't still be throwing at age 40 - if he wants to be.
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Double J · Jun 7, 2009

BYH said:

Lee Jackson Beauregard said:

I listened to someone tonight make the case that Felix Hernandez will win 300 games.
Click to expand...

He's as reasonable a guess as anyone. Forty-four wins two months after his 23rd birthday, figure he could be at 70 by 25. He's thrown a lot by today's standards (10 110-pitch games last year, three this year, 29 in 115 career starts), but nothing Doc Gooden-esque.
Click to expand...

Early success isn't the greatest indicator of long-term success.

Ralph Branca had 76 wins at age 25.

He retired at age 30, having collected his 88th and final win two years earlier.

Football_Bat · Jun 10, 2009

Double J said:

BYH said:

Lee Jackson Beauregard said:

I listened to someone tonight make the case that Felix Hernandez will win 300 games.
Click to expand...

He's as reasonable a guess as anyone. Forty-four wins two months after his 23rd birthday, figure he could be at 70 by 25. He's thrown a lot by today's standards (10 110-pitch games last year, three this year, 29 in 115 career starts), but nothing Doc Gooden-esque.
Click to expand...

Early success isn't the greatest indicator of long-term success.

Ralph Branca had 76 wins at age 25.

He retired at age 30, having collected his 88th and final win two years earlier.
Click to expand...

A back injury had more to do with Branca's early exit. Fifty years of medical advances might have had Branca back on the mound in relatively quick order.

No guarantee he'd win 300 by any stretch, and since he was (and is, unless a news story is developing without my knowledge) a righty, his longevity leash wouldn't be as long.

spnited · Jun 10, 2009

Doc Gooden had 100 wins at age 24, 150 at age 28. Finished with 194

Ah, what could have been.

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