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Should W-L for pitchers just be phased out entirely?

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Dick Whitman, Aug 18, 2013.

  1. JayFarrar

    JayFarrar Well-Known Member

    Because people understand wins and losses.

    The vast majority of the time, the value of a pitcher can be measured by how many wins and losses they have.

    The vast majority of the time, extra stats are rolled out to support a pitcher, who has a losing record, but probably shouldn't for a variety of reasons. Stats also come out when trying to compare and contrast two or more pitchers.

    The reason why wins and losses have hung around for so long is because that measure is already the most elegant stat in baseball.
     
  2. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    If someone wants to seize on it, fine, but reporters and team broadcasts and MLB in general should not be enabling it. People have been trained for decades that W-L is a primary indicator of pitcher effectiveness. It is not. It is, essentially, worthless (except as somewhat accurate shorthand - but not nearly as accurate as stats that instead measure the pitcher's effectiveness). People, to this day, cast their Cy Young ballots taking account of W-L record. And W-L record and Cy Young Awards end up playing into HOF votes, for example.

    Jim Leyland doesn't seem to realize that W-L is not an accurate measure of a pitcher's value to his team. Why do you think Joe Six Pack Fan will realize it, given that it has been and currently is being listed first in a stat graphic for a pitcher - even relief pitchers!
     
  3. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    Jim Leyland doesn't.
     
  4. LongTimeListener

    LongTimeListener Well-Known Member

    Dick, if the season ends today, who's your pick for AL Cy Young?
     
  5. Songbird

    Songbird Well-Known Member

    Worked with one in NJ who does that and who keeps Rickey Henderson out of the HoF for the worst reason of all-time.
     
  6. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    Felix Hernandez.
     
  7. LongTimeListener

    LongTimeListener Well-Known Member

    Interesting. Ranks seventh in ERA+, second in ERA, second in WAR, seventh in WHIP, not really up there in CGs or SHOs.
     
  8. Songbird

    Songbird Well-Known Member

    Here's Felix:

    Code:
                                                                                                  
    Year   Age  Tm Lg  W L  ERA  G GS GF CG SHO SV    IP   H  R ER HR BB  SO HBP WP  BF ERA+  WHIP
    2013    27 SEA AL 12 6 2.47 26 26  0  0   0  0 178.2 159 56 49 12 38 182   2 10 709  149 1.103
    
    Here's Max:

    Code:
                                                                                                      
    Year   Age  Tm Lg  W L W-L%  ERA  G GS GF CG SHO SV    IP   H  R ER HR BB  SO BK WP  BF ERA+  WHIP
    2013    28 DET AL 18 1 .947 2.82 25 25  0  0   0  0 172.1 117 56 54 14 38 185  1  4 659  149 0.899
    
     
  9. Riptide

    Riptide Well-Known Member

    Another busy day in the legal offices, counselor?
     
  10. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    Second in ERA, by 0.06.

    First in IP.

    Second in SO.
     
  11. LongTimeListener

    LongTimeListener Well-Known Member

    The ERA difference between him and Scherzer is almost fully explained by their home parks -- Detroit's ballpark factor is 105 and Seattle's is 90. Scherzer's ERA is a quarter-run better on the road. Don't know if they moved the fences in in Detroit or if it's a weather thing or what, but Comerica appears to have become something of a hitter's spot.

    And he trails Scherzer in strikeouts despite being ahead in innings. Both are too close to put a whole lot of stock in any difference, though.
     
  12. BTExpress

    BTExpress Well-Known Member

    Never really understood why 4-5 pitchers going 6 or so innings need to "save" 5-7 pitchers going 3 or so innings.

    Which makes ERA somewhat misleading, too, then, eh? :D

    There's really no stat that can be isolated and doesn't depend on a host of other factors (run support, ballpark, climate, etc.).
     
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