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President Trump: The NEW one and only politics thread

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Moderator1, Nov 12, 2016.

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  1. TowelWaver

    TowelWaver Well-Known Member

    Betting markets have it about 85-90% Biden still.
  2. Moderator1

    Moderator1 Moderator Staff Member

    Does AP have any recent history of being wrong with its projections?

    Still, if GA and PA come in, it doesn't really matter. A friend is very confident PA will be 100K in favor of Biden.

    I'm not confident about anything
  3. Della9250

    Della9250 Well-Known Member

    He has a chance but he essentially has to win everything that's left.
  4. sgreenwell

    sgreenwell Well-Known Member

    I imagine there has to be a pretty severe limit to what you can put down on Biden... but, maybe not so much on Trump currently.
    TowelWaver likes this.
  5. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    The numbers guys seem to think PA is definitely going to Biden (Since Nate Silver works for ABC, he can't say "definitely" anything until the network does
  6. Spartan Squad

    Spartan Squad Well-Known Member

    Not winning the Senate will allow him to tell the left wing of the party to stuff it it just won't clear the Senate. Won't stop the House from going left because AOC for better or worse will be the new face until the Dems lose control of the chamber. The center of the party needs to step up and force the far left to form a true new party.
    daemon likes this.
  7. PCLoadLetter

    PCLoadLetter Well-Known Member

    Looks to me like there are about 350k ballots remaining in Arizona. If that's the case Trump isn't gaining enough ground to be much of a threat.
  8. TowelWaver

    TowelWaver Well-Known Member

    The trend in PA has pretty steadily been Biden closing the gap by 30k votes or so every 1% that comes in. Right now, it's 88% in and Trump is up by less than 200k. I think people have been extrapolating to say that somewhere another 6-7% or so (94-95%) if the trends continue, Biden will tie. The next 4-5% would put him over by 100-150k. Again, assumes that these trends will continue, but they have so far at least.
    heyabbott and 3_Octave_Fart like this.
  9. Starman

    Starman Well-Known Member

    Why in flaming hell would the centrist Dems tell any substantial percentage of their own party to "form a true new party?" They don't have any percentage points to throw away.
    Regan MacNeil and Mngwa like this.
  10. PCLoadLetter

    PCLoadLetter Well-Known Member

    Hmm. Looks like the latest numbers drop from Arizona was from only 76k ballots. If that's the case, this could possibly get tight.
  11. heyabbott

    heyabbott Well-Known Member

    Biden should threaten to sue Arizona to stop the count just to hear the reaction from Fox and tramp
  12. Pilot

    Pilot Well-Known Member

    garrow likes this.
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