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Muh Muh Muh My Corona (virus)

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Twirling Time, Jan 21, 2020.

  1. TrooperBari

    TrooperBari Well-Known Member

    All the cool kids are going to Iceland, apparently. Anyone who has played Plague, Inc. knows how this ends.

     
    britwrit likes this.
  2. TrooperBari

    TrooperBari Well-Known Member

    Three days until I can ditch the electronic bracelet and go outside again -- assuming the second Covid test comes back negative. I'm not sure I'll know what to do with myself (other than go into the office rather than working remotely).
     
    Fred siegle and Deskgrunt50 like this.
  3. Neutral Corner

    Neutral Corner Well-Known Member

  4. Neutral Corner

    Neutral Corner Well-Known Member

    America’s seniors, sacrificed on the altar of reopening

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/05/22/americas-seniors-sacrificed-altar-reopening/

    "For frail seniors in the United States, there simply is no haven. The unspoken, if inherent, trade-off in reopening the economy without safeguards is the lives of our elders. Two months ago, Dan Patrick, the Republican lieutenant governor of Texas who was about to turn 70, argued that those his age and older are “willing to take a chance on [their own] survival” to reopen the economy. Now they have no choice."
     
  5. HanSenSE

    HanSenSE Well-Known Member

  6. Azrael

    Azrael Well-Known Member

    what's the plan to protect "the vulnerable?"
     
  7. Azrael

    Azrael Well-Known Member

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/heal...032470-9c43-11ea-ac72-3841fcc9b35f_story.html

    The Imperial College researchers estimated the virus’s reproduction number, known as R0, or R naught. This is the average number of infections generated by each infected person in a vulnerable population. The researchers found the reproduction number has dropped below 1 in the District and 26 states. In those places, as of May 17, the epidemic was waning.

    In 24 states, however, the model shows a reproduction number over 1. Texas tops the list, followed by Arizona, Illinois, Colorado, Ohio, Minnesota, Indiana, Iowa, Alabama and Wisconsin.
     
  8. Jerry-atric

    Jerry-atric Active Member

  9. BTExpress

    BTExpress Well-Known Member

    Below 1.0 in 46 states here. Texas No. 22 with an R number of 0.92.

    South Carolina (0.85), Florida (0.88), Georgia (0.88) and Kentucky (0.88) among the best states.

    Rt Covid-19
     
  10. TheSportsPredictor

    TheSportsPredictor Well-Known Member

  11. MileHigh

    MileHigh Moderator Staff Member

    Restaurants, places of worship, gyms and a large mall in a big county south of Denver given the OK to reopen immediately.

    Meanwhile, the governor's office put up this graphic on social media saying 1 in 300 people are contagious. "Group of 150 people: There's a 50-50 chance someone is contagious. A group of 75 people: A 25 percent chance. A group of 25 people: Less than 10 percent chance."

    You can imagine the comments.

     
  12. The Big Ragu

    The Big Ragu Moderator Staff Member

    Those probabilities may be overly simplistic. Aside from whether the 1 in 300 number is even accurate. ...

    The kind of person who is willing to gather in a group of people right now may be statistically more likely to already be infected than the average "1 in 300" person, because they have probably been engaging in riskier behavior before the gathering you are looking at.

    Which means that a gathering of 150 people may skew much greater than 1 in 300, while the offsetting people who are barely leaving their home may be bringing the average down to 1 in 300.

    That is one thing about a mean number. Most people aren't the average.
     
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