Kentucky Derby 137

As I said above, I hope it was due to his wife.

Fucker.

 

Baffert's pretty deadly in this race, when he has the bullets.

Believe he has Little Boy, today.

 

Three hours to post time and Pants on Fire has been hammered down from 20-1 on the morning line to 7-1, the second choice behind Dialed In (5-1).

 

Morning line, Current odds:

1 Archarcharch (Jon Court), 10-1, 13-1
2 Brilliant Speed (Joel Rosario), 30-1, 26-1
3 Twice the Appeal (Calvin Borel), 20-1, 10-1
4 Stay Thirsty (Ramon Dominguez), 20-1, 16-1
5 Decisive Moment (Kerwin Clark), 30-1, 37-1
6 Comma to the Top (Pat Valenzuela), 30-1, 36-1
7 Pants on Fire (Rosie Napravnik), 20-1, 7-1
8 Dialed In (Julien Leparoux), 4-1, 5-1
9 Derby Kitten (J.J. Castellano), 30-1, 34-1
10 Twinspired (Mike Smith), 30-1, 29-1
11 Master of Hounds (Garrett Gomez), 30-1, 12-1
12 Santiva (Shaun Bridgmohan), 30-1, 35-1
13 Mucho Macho Man (Rajiv Maragh), 12-1, 9-1
14 Shackleford (Jesus Castanon), 12-1, 24-1
15 Midnight Interlude (Victor Espinoza), 10-1, 8-1
16 Animal Kingdom (John Velazquez), 30-1, 22-1
17 Soldat (Alan Garcia), 12-1, 14-1
18 Uncle Mo (), 9-2, SCRATCH
19 Nehro (Corey Nakatani), 6-1, 10-1
20 Watch Me Go (Rafael Bejarano), 50-1, 29-1

Pants On Fire, Master of Hounds getting pounded

 

My dad loves him some Master of Hounds.

 

So his play was responsible for that drop from 30-1 to 12-1? Well done, Papa IJAG.

 

My dad's got power. Trust.

 

I'm leaning Archarcharch, Dialed In, Shackleford, Animal Kingdom and Nehro. Though I freely admit I might add two or three more horses before wagering.

 

I wonder if it's the horse or the jockey who's attracting all the action, especially among lady bettors.

She's a fine looking jockey in my book, too!

 

FWIW, the rail seems dead today at Churchill. The winner will likely be at least three wide at the top of the stretch.

 

My hunch says go the way the Dos Equus people are pulling and look for the headline Stay Thirsty, My Friends at papers all across the country tomorrow.

Pairing him with ArchArchArch and Midnight Interlude.

And a couple retirement fund tri-boxes with 3-9-16 and 2-5-10.

 

Sheesh. I'm down to 1, 4, 8, 14, 16, 19 boxed in an exacta and a trifecta.