Gambling Thread

For the Draft Kings players, there’s a stellar free roll today for NBA.

Promo for Player who makes the first FG of Utah-NO. If you don’t win on the bet but that player’s team wins, you get the bet refunded as a free bet. Max bet $50.

Here is what you do.

Pick a Pelican. (I took Zion as he leads New Orleans in FGs. Not points but FGs. +600). Play $50.

If someone other than Zion hits, go to another book and then hit Utah ML. If it’s +120, $42 will even out the $50 bet. Free roll.

 

Ouch. Philly pumps in three goals in the first half.

 

I'm on the Suns +500 DK boost today with the Wizards at +240 at another shop. $35.61 on the Wiz gets me $64 either way. I would much rather have the Wizards win. Trying to, slowly, bleed out the DK account as it's hard to get money out of it. I'd rather go to a casino and take the cash at the cage.

Overs are hitting big time in the first three NBA games today (Friday) and I'm already looking at 0-2 on unders. The unders were easy yesterday. What this may be telling me is that bad/mediocre teams (today so far) really don't care about defense.

Proceed with caution on playing totals with NBA.

 

Took the Magic in the DK bet and was going to hedge as the game went on. Thought it was a 4 pm start and by the time I checked the score, it was over. Dumb move which paid off.

I have a regular time draw in the FA Cup tomorrow at +245

 

Going with the draw? William Hill has the "goals bonus" in Arsenal/Chelsea. Pick either side ML and get an extra $5 for each goal they score and $10 if a penalty or in extra time. I'll be on Chelsea with a hedge that Chelsea gets shut out at 5-1.

So far today on NBA, 1st quarter and 1st half overs are 6-0... easily.

 

That’s not bad. Both teams are pretty offense heavy.

 

Just won Kings-Spurs 1Q over 56. 73 points in the first. They're going over like crazy early today.

Off to Rockets-Mavs 1Q over 58.5 The final leg of the 3-teamer.

Today is like 1982 NBA. Every game is 133-126.

 

I got burned BAD last night on SKC-Philly under 3. Pigs get fed, hogs get slaughtered and I got greedy. Stayed off LAFC tonight. Glad I did.

I started playing unders today in NBA but I saw all of these wild 1Q scores. 65, 70 points. It was madness. So I lost the first two unders but then shifted to over 1Q totals but I hit all night. Like a broken slot machine on tilt.

EXPECT to see a correction on 1Q totals for tomorrow. However, if they're under 60, I think you have to hit them 'over'. What are we seeing in a lot of these games? Free throws and bad defense. A Tim Donaghy Special.

I'll get up early - 5:30 or 6 am - and check the opening lines. Will try and get the 1Q totals as soon as they're posted. It'll be like the day Bud Fox was pumping and dumping Blue Star Airlines.

For tomorrow, I have a $20 free bet just burning a hole in my pocket. I'll put that on a 3-teamer for the first 3 games of the day. If the first 1Q bet loses, I'll just put $11 or $22 on the over on each game and see how it shakes out.