FSU / Miami

Line opened at 4 I think, so people either talked themselves into FSU or books are trying to funnel more money to Miami, because they know something.

I kind of like Miami, but this is too hard to call because FSU is going to be good again. Not sure if Miami is getting enough respect for the season -- not just this game. Miami had a lot of freshmen and sophomores last year and was inconsistent, but they are a fast, aggressive defense and they really surprised a lot of teams last year. They beat Wake Forest and Virginia Tech. I think they may be the most talented team in the ACC, but they have a really nasty schedule. The first four games are at Florida State, at home against Georgia Tech, at Virginia Tech and at home against Oklahoma. Because of the schedule, I think they may lose a few games, but they are probably going to be better than the 7-6 team they were last year. More experienced, really good defense and Randy Shannon is a good coach. He added Mark Whipple as OC this year, which was a solid hire. Whipple developed Ben Roethlisberger with the Steelers and could make Jacory Harris even better.

That doesn't answer who to bet on. I personally think it's a coin flip game. I'd think Miami certainly has a chance, so if someone twisted my arm, I'd take them on the moneyline. It's at +200. Might as well eat the points, hope Miami can win and try to double your money. I'd also guess the total will go under 47, but no way I'd bet a game like this. I just have a feeling this is going to be a defensive game.

 

Good luck. Honestly, I wouldn't make bets based on my analysis of FSU and Miami. I think these are two pretty good teams this year. I have no horse in the race. I'll be rooting for you and FSU and the over now.