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Does Derek Jeter win in Tennessee?

Discussion in 'Anything goes' started by Columbo, Nov 1, 2006.

  1. Columbo

    Columbo Active Member

    It may decide whether the Dems get a sweep.
  2. HejiraHenry

    HejiraHenry Well-Known Member

    On the ground there, insiders worry that they can't get good polling data on this race.

    The question is whether people are being honest with pollsters on the question of whether they would vote for a black candidate. A friend, well-wired to the state Dems, calls it the "missing 15" -- as in, the 15 percent of people who are lying when they're polled. That would turn a race inside the margin of error into a Republican victory by a significant margin.

    He's run a good race, would likely make a good senator unless he's been lying about all of those things he's said during the campaign. If his name was Smith or Jones, he'd win 54-45. But he's a Ford from Memphis, and that comes with a full set of remarkable political baggage. If he wins, it'll be close -- probably decided by the cemetary precincts in Memphis.
  3. Bubba Fett

    Bubba Fett Active Member

    I'm pulling for him, but I have friends in Nashville that aren't too fond of the guy.
  4. Columbo

    Columbo Active Member

    I have a bad feeling the Captain's coming up short.
  5. TigerVols

    TigerVols Well-Known Member

    Corker carries my home state by at least 9 points.
  6. HejiraHenry

    HejiraHenry Well-Known Member

    As a Tennessee native and a South Park Republican, the ideal set of circumstances would be for him to win -- but without affecting the control of the Senate. I have trouble doing the math on that one, at the moment.
  7. PeteyPirate

    PeteyPirate Guest

    Harold Ford Jr. is overrated and doesn't deserve the MVP.
  8. PopeDirkBenedict

    PopeDirkBenedict Active Member

    I think 15 is overstating it. But there is definitely a black candidate tax of 5%.

    I think Corker wins 53-47.
  9. HejiraHenry

    HejiraHenry Well-Known Member

    Yeah, I thought 15 sounded a little high.
  10. Songbird

    Songbird Well-Known Member

    Good story on Ford Jr. in this week's Newsweek. I say he wins.
  11. I'm a die-hard GOPer (duh), but I do like Harold Ford.

    Don't think he's ready now, but when Alexander retires, he should try it again.
  12. Bob Cook

    Bob Cook Active Member

    Too bad Ford wasn't running here in Chicago. We elect the progeny of tainted politicians all the time.

    /bitter because my Congressman is Dan Lipinski, installed by his dad and former seatholder Bill in post-election chicanery, and my soon-to-be county board president is Todd Stroger, installed by the county Democratic machine controlled by his ailing father and former seatholder John in post-primary chicanery.
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