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Another 2012 Presidential Poll

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by Moderator1, Oct 22, 2012.


Which ticket do you think will win the election?

  1. Obama-Biden

    74 vote(s)
  2. Romney-Ryan

    15 vote(s)
  1. Moderator1

    Moderator1 Moderator Staff Member

    READ THE QUESTION CAREFULLY - not which ticket gets your vote. Which one do you think will win? We'll do the vote for one next if this one goes OK.

    You may vote and make one comment why. No quoting other posts, no second post in this thread. Vote, explain, done. That's it. Nice and simple.
  2. LongTimeListener

    LongTimeListener Well-Known Member

    Silver had something again today, as have a lot of other polling stories, that the swing-state numbers are all going Obama's way even as the national numbers head toward Romney.
  3. cranberry

    cranberry Well-Known Member

    Totally reliant on FiveThirtyEight, whose data suggests the bleeding has stopped and Obama has begun separating again.
  4. joe

    joe Active Member

    I really think, when it comes down to it, evangelicals and folks like Southern Baptists are going to have a hard time voting for a Mormon. And faced with the choice of voting for a Mormon or a president they can't abide, many will just stay home, swinging the election to the current administration.
  5. Cubbiebum

    Cubbiebum Member

    I think this comes down to Romney constantly flip flopping depending on the crowd he is speaking to and the fact he has admitted to wanting to give the rich a tax break. A lot of the middle or undecided voters will think of that while at the poll.

    As with anything, there are a lot of reasons but those are the main ones in my eyes.
  6. Matt1735

    Matt1735 Well-Known Member

    Based on everything I've seen, the vote that matters (EC) will go Obama's way
  7. Zeke12

    Zeke12 Guest

    Sticking with my year-old prediction:

    Obama 52-48, 300 EVs.
  8. Bob Cook

    Bob Cook Active Member

    After last night's debate, I have a hard time seeing Romney winning. To beat an incumbent, you have to have one who is severely damaged, and you have to come with a strong campaign that provides a clear alternative. Even if you argue Obama is severely damaged (and I wouldn't), Romney's not providing a clear alternative -- at least not one that 50 percent of the voting population wants.

    We'll be back for at least another two years of Dem president, Republican House and Dem Senate.
  9. Norrin Radd

    Norrin Radd New Member

    The brief "it's a RACE!!!! OMG!!! OMG!!!!!" talk from the media was quaint and all, but Obama has had this locked ever since the GOP nominated the Robot and the Frat Boy.

    Put another way: If people believed so strongly in Obama four years ago, they should be expected to come out in large numbers to vote to give him more time to become what they hoped he could be.
  10. old_tony

    old_tony Well-Known Member

    Obama continues with approval ratings that cannot crack 50%. Incumbents do not win with approval ratings and right/track ratings in the mid-40s.
  11. dixiehack

    dixiehack Well-Known Member

    Ohio isn't budging away from Obama thanks to the differences on the auto bailout, and the electoral math isn't plausible for Romney without it.
  12. Versatile

    Versatile Active Member

    Since my last post went poof, I get another shot, right?

    This, via David Grann on Twitter, puts the electoral votes battle into perspective: http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/23/romneys_steep_path_to_270.html
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