2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Running Thread

Latest info appears to show it becoming a minor hurricane as it brushes by the east coast of Florida on Sunday afternoon. That would be good, since the upper right corner is the most dangerous, but could cause a lot of beach erosion. Also good, it appears that it'll pick up a lot of speed soon.

 

That's the last thing we need. My island just completed beach re-nourishment this spring from Florence in '18.

 

Brevard County was dredging and pumping sand all winter to make up for the past two storms. We need this thing to track farther east, my friend.

 

Andrew was the weirdest thing. That high pressure ridge would not allow it to even nudge north as it approached Florida. Things would have been so much worse had it done so.

 

Andrew is 1992 I think. I was a Weather Channel freak in those days and they would have their local updates every ten minutes. Seeing the radar screen was crazy. Here's this Cat 4 hurricane 100 miles below but it's wound so tight that where I lived barely got rain from outer bands. Got plenty of tropical storm force winds, but not much rain. And it was sunny for part of the day. Weird as hell I tell you.

 

David was basically on the same track as Andrew in 1980(?) after plowing through the Caribbean as a Cat 5, aiming straight for Dania Beach between Fort Lauderdale and Miami, with a couple of million people in the center of the target. Somehow, David made a last-second turn up the coast, with spin-off tornadoes tearing up parts of Fort Pierce, Vero Beach, Melbourne and Titusville before bouncing back out to sea.

That's as lucky as I've been. Fran and Floyd were pretty much floodmakers by the time they got to Rocky Mount, although 75 mph sustained winds are pretty damn impressive. Floyd was worse because we had just been hit by all the rain from Dennis, which had nowhere to go.

 

Isasias: that escalated quickly.
As noted, I'd just as soon it keep peeling off to the east. As warm as the water is in the Gulf Stream right now, it could seriously intensify.
There are two more systems building right in behind it, one in the middle of the Atlantic right now and another just rolling off the coast of Africa.

 

The wind shear should keep it from getting stronger, but we'll see. Cantore is convinced a weaker storm drifts closer to Florida and a stronger one stays out to sea. Either way, it's all happening fast. And Andrew was 1992.