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141st Kentucky Derby

Discussion in 'Sports and News' started by trifectarich, Apr 30, 2015.

  1. trifectarich

    trifectarich Well-Known Member

    Weather is supposed to be perfect. This year's group of 3-year-olds is said to be the best in many years; the five lowest-priced horses on the morning line for this year's Derby are 13-for-13 so far this year.

    There's great value in a lot of places. Carpe Diem is 4-for-5 lifetime and has never raced at odds higher than 5-2; he's 8-1 in the morning line. Materiality (12-to-1) is 3-for-3 lifetime. Mubtaahij (20-1) has won twice at a mile and three-sixteenths. International Star (20-1) is 3-for-3 this year, all in graded stakes.

    American Pharaoh is the likely favorite but starts from post 18.

    Good luck to everyone. I'll be watching from the jai alai fronton.

    1 Ocho Ocho Ocho (Trujillo), 50-1
    2 Carpe Diem (Velazquez), 8-1
    3 Materiality (Castellano), 12-1
    4 Tencendur (Franco), 30-1
    5 Danzig Moon (Leparoux), 30-1
    6 Mubtaahij (Soumillon), 20-1
    7 El Kabeir (Borel), 30-1
    8 Dortmund (Garcia), 3-1
    9 Bolo (Bejarano), 30-1
    10 Firing Line (Stevens), 12-1
    11 Stanford (Geroux), 30-1
    12 International Star (Mena), 20-1
    13 Itsaknockout (Saez), 30-1
    14 Keen Ice (Desormeaux), 50-1
    15 Frosted (Rosario), 15-1
    16 War Story (Talamo), 50-1
    17 Mr. Z (Vazquez), 50-1
    18 American Pharaoh (Espinoza), 5-2
    19 Upstart (Ortiz), 15-1
    20 Far Right (Smith), 30-1
  2. JackReacher

    JackReacher Well-Known Member

    Carpe Diem was our stupid senior slogan in high school. I'll probably include that horse in any bets.
  3. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    I'm going. Never been. Can't wait.
  4. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    You'll have a blast, Dick. The post parade for the Derby is one of the things in sports that lives up to all the hype and then some.
  5. Captain_Kirk

    Captain_Kirk Well-Known Member

    And Far Right starts from the....
  6. Michael_ Gee

    Michael_ Gee Well-Known Member

    If Ocho Ocho Ocho doesn't finish eighth I'm going to be very disappointed.
  7. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    Yeah. I've been to Indy 20 times and I still feel that way at the start, so this should be amazing.
  8. Moderator1

    Moderator1 Moderator Staff Member

    I went in 1973. My brother lived in Louisville. Saw Secretariat win, still one of life's great memories.
    Ace, Brian and Dick Whitman like this.
  9. da man

    da man Well-Known Member

    Coincidence? I think not.
  10. da man

    da man Well-Known Member

    Too bad he can't finish 24th.
  11. I got $100 on Carpe Diem back in March during future wagering when he was at 10-1. He's the most complete horse I've seen on the Derby trail, but I worry about being in the second gate. Dortmund will be the odds-on favorite by post time just because he's a great horse with a great post draw. I'm just not sold on American Pharoah, he's fast but don't know if he can do it for a mile and a quarter.

    Enjoy, Dick. I couldn't bring myself to drop $300 on tickets this year. Maybe if Carpe Diem wins I'll go next year.
  12. Dick Whitman

    Dick Whitman Well-Known Member

    I think ours were $400. But it was a year ago. Have to do it once, at least.
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